Tag Archives: Sir Micheal Stoute

Update On The Pattern Racing World Championships 2019 (24th May)

Five G1’s last week, two in Australia, the Doomben Cup and Goodwood Handicap, one in America, The Preakness Stakes, one in England, the Lockinge and one in Japan, the Yushun Himba – Japanese Oaks.

1. The Horse Championship

Not much change in the overall standings, Osbourne Bulls remains top with Beauty Generation and Winx joint second. Kenedna, the Doomben Cup winner added a second G1 to go with the Coolmore Legacy Stakes won last month, the others, Despatch (Goodwood Handicap), Mustashry (Lockinge), War Of Will (Preakness Stakes) and Loves Only You (Yushun Himba) were all first-time G1 winners.

2. The Sire Championship

Deep Impact goes top on the back of one-two in the Japanese Oaks usurping Street Cry.

3. The Jockeys Championship

Hugh Bowman didn’t score this week but remains in pole position. Joel Rosario’s second in the Preakness moves him to joint fourth.

4. The Trainer Championship

James Cummings is still top. Chris Waller closes in on him with a second in the Doomben Cup while Sir Michael Stoute scores his first points of the year with Mustashry’s victory in the Lockinge.

5. The Owner Championship

No change for Godolphin who remain top after a blank weekend. Not so for Hamdan Al Maktoum, the Lockinge win puts him joint third with Coolmore.

6. The Breeder Championship

Darley stay in pole though Northern Farm closes the gap with a first and third in the Japanses Oaks.

Coming This Weekend

CountryTrack Date StatusPattern Race Name
AustrailiaEagle FarmSaturday 25 May 2019(G1)Kingsford-Smith Cup
IrelandCurraghSaturday 25 May 2019(G1)Tattersalls Irish 2000 Thousand Guineas
USASanta AnitaSaturday 25 May 2019(G1)Gamely Stakes
USASanta AnitaSaturday 25 May 2019(G1)The Gold Cup At Santa Anita
FranceParisLonchampSunday 26 May 2019(G1)Prix d’Ispahan
FranceParisLonchampSunday 26 May 2019(G1)Saxon Warrior Prix Saint-Alary
Hong KongSha TinSunday 26 May 2019(G1)Standard Chartered Champions and Chater Cup
IrelandCurraghSunday 26 May 2019(G1)Tattersalls Irish 1000 Thousand Guineas
IrelandCurraghSunday 26 May 2019(G1)Tattersalls Gold Cup
JapanTokyoSunday 26 May 2019(G1)Tokyo Yushun – Japanese Derby

Follow the 2019 G1 Pattern Racing year in championship format by clicking on the links below.

PRWC 2019 Horse, PRWC 2019 Jockey, PRWC 2019 Trainer, PRWC 2019 Sire, PRWC 2019 Owner, PRWC 2019 Breeder

View last years championships here by clicking on the links below.

PRWC 2018 Horse, PRWC 2018 Jockey, PRWC 2018 Trainer, PRWC 2018 Sire, PRWC 2018 Owner, PRWC 2018 Breeder

 

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Chartwell Fillies Stakes (Group 3)

Interesting Group 3 at Lingfield today.

The form is represented by the French filly Kendam who was third to Gordon Lord Byron in last years G1 Prix De Floret on Arc weekend. She came form off the pace that day to run on well to the line on the autumnal surface that Lonchamp usually provides in October. Twice out this year she was last probably needing the run on the first occasion then second next time suggesting she has trained on.

Sir Michael Stoute’s Ultrasonic has been a consistent type racking up 3 consecutive seconds in Listed company. This is her first run this year and you would worry about the her ability to get her head in front especially first time out.

There’s no concern about the fitness of the Irish filly. She looks the one to overcome. Ger Lyons sends Lily’s Angel back to England having won at Listed level over the all weather Kempton surface a month ago. She seen as a bit of an all weather specialist having also won at Dundalk and Meyden however she had no problem with a good turf surface at Leopardstown last September and she look’s to be a filly on the up.

Recommendation : Lily’s Angel 7/2 win 

The Park Hill Stakes (Group 2)

Run over the St Ledger distance of a mile and 6 furlongs this race is restricted to fillies and mares three years or older. Nine go to post with the Sir Henry Cecil trained Wild Coco top rated on 113. A belated return to the racecourse for the Group 3 Lillie Langtry Stakes over the same distance at Goodwood suggests Henry always had an autumn campaign in mind for her. She had run in the same race the year before, after two good wins, going off favourite but didn’t do herself justice. It would appear a year’s break did her all the good in the world and she’d no problem putting the race to bed to win comfortably by 2 3/4 L.

On rating The Queens Estimate is next best off a mark of 110. Trained by Sir Michael Stoute she was third to Wild Coco at Goodwood having previously won the Queens Vase over 16 f and the way she’d stayed on at Goodwood suggests 14 f may have been a bit on the sharp side for her.

Kailani was an impressive winner of the Pretty Poly Stakes and as a result went on to represent Godolphin in the Oaks. It didn’t happen for her as she was held up out the back and when she came with a run suffered interference with Maybe effectively ending her chances. A quick return for the Ribblesdale didn’t work where slow out of the stalls again effectively ended her chances. She’s a daughter of duel Oaks winner Kazzia (suggesting stamina not an issue) and having been put away since Ascot, if she can regain her spring form she’s not out of this.

Ambivalent is a filly on the improve, backed to win off a mark of 72 in a Nottingham handicap she duly obliged. Roger Varian stepped her into Listed company after that in the Aphrodite Stakes where market exuberance sent her off favourite but inexperience at the level saw her run well in third. She followed up in the Chalice Stakes, Listed class again, this time getting the better of the favourite Set To Music. The question with her is how she’ll cope with the extra 2 f on quick ground.

Cracking Lass, the oldest mare in the field at six has only managed three wins in twenty one attempts. Arguably the best of her form came in this race last year when beaten 11 L and connections have decided to give it another try on the back of an encouraging third in her comeback run in the Galtres Stakes. Bite Of The Cherry was a L behind having previously been a 5 L winner of a Newmarket handicap over 13 f.

Hazel Lavery won the Aphrodite (Ambivalent in behind) and was then sent to contest the Lillie Langtry won by Wild Coco but didn’t fire. She may not have coped with the track at Goodwood and Doncaster may suit better.

Gallipot is a winner of two recent all weather Kempton handicaps both over 11 f. She’s a daughter of Galileo out of a Spinning World mare and unlikely John Gosden would pitch her in here unless she had a chance of doing herself justice. That remark also applies to Monshak the second string of Sir Michael Stoute. She refused to race last time out but her three previous runs suggest she has talent. Before refusing she had won her previous two starts and her debut run saw her run second to Great Waters (beaten 3 L) since the winner of the Irish Oaks.

This is a trappy contest from a punting point of view where measurement of class will come with hindsight. Nevertheless Kailani at 8/1 represents value if the spring form can be replicated.

A day for the boys in blue.

Recommendation: Kailani 8/1 win

King Geroge VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Betfair) (Group 1)

One of the best races of the season is upon us. It has painted a rich trapestry of quality winners but also is capable of surprises. This year it’s attracted a small but select field.

Our understanding of this years, last years and the previous years generation will be defined by this event. The context of Rewilding’s victory over So You Think and the latter’s subsequent victory in the Eclipse. The brilliance of the St Nicholas Abbeys stunning two year old Racing Post Trophy victory and subsequent fall from grace. The class of Workforce’s Derby and Arc wins will all be measured here come 4.30 on Saturday. Throw in an Arlington Million winner in Debussy at an unconsidered 100/1 and we get some sense of how good a race this will be.

Nathaniel represents this years three-year old crop. On his first time on a racecourse he met Frankel, also making his debut, and only failed a 1/2 L. He was denied in the Chester Vase by subsequent Derby second and Irish Derby winner Treasure Beach by a head. He is already an Ascot winner over this distance having given a very good impression in the King Edward VII Stakes at The Royal meeting. The decision to pitch him in here rather than a campaign targeted towards the Ledger is brave and you can only conclude he must be showing a serious level of ability to his trainer John Gosden.

Debussy was in the care of the same man until last year and is a horse who has yet to demonstrate his class over a mile and a half. At 10 f he was a quality winner of the Million benefiting from 18 mm of rain on the track the night before. He came from off the pace demonstrating a great turn of foot to beat the American turf champion Gio Ponti. There was no fluke in that performance so don’t underestimate him. Last in the Prince Of Wales doesn’t read good but whacking the rail when in contention should be taken into account.

Rewilding is Godolphin’s main threat. A winner of the Shemma Classic, he put it up to So You Think in the Prince Of Wales coming out on top. Aidan O’Brien took the blame for the defeat and the form took the boosting it deserved in the Eclipse. It stands up.

So the big two. The market favoured St Nick at first but then swung dramatically towards Workforce. A piece of work last Sunday morning left watchers in awe and the market reacted. We already knew how good he was through last year performances but there is a niggle, he failed to fire in this race last year. It’s easy to forget that after Harbinger blew us all away but we must remember it’s the only time he has raced at Ascot.

And so to the king in waiting, St Nicholas Abbey. His three-year old career was a debacle which his trainer took full responsibility for. A fat horse in April did little to inspire confidence, come May and June we were beginning to believe again. At Chester he grabbed the ground relishing every step in a 9 L defeat of Allied Powers following up in Coronation Cup at Epsom over the this distance. The win over Midday was battling but a question mark exists over her subsequent defeat in the Pretty Polly.

So how will the race go?

The ground will be soft side of good with a possible further 4 mm of rain to come. We can rely on Debussy to set it. He will wind it up even and quickening. With the juice in the ground he’ll stay on the rail while those in search of a better surface will go under the trees on the far side. There will be a dismissal of the pacemaker by those on the far side and they will expect to easily pick him up rounding Swinley Bottom. As they regroup there will be plenty of horse in behind with all of them travelling. Every jockey will be confident knowing there mount will have the stamina to see it out. Debussy will either die or stretch with two furlongs to go. If he dies expect Ryan Moore will drive with Frankie in behind trying to get there. William Buick will be stretching and improving while the young pretender will have to demonstrate the ultimate coolness to hold his challenge till last. It could be young Joseph O’Brien might just be a chip off the old block when it comes to coolness and by playing late he could get there.

Then again, Debussy might not die. He’s a stone better on this ground and the others won’t like it like he does. Granted a stone may not be enough against these colts. The trip to the far side under the trees may well have been the play early doors but in the last furlong the concession of that ground could be crucial.

In the lung bursting last 100 yards….Debussy on juicy ground may just do, as in 1997, a Swain and produce another albeit much bigger surprise.