Tag Archives: Saeed bin Suroor

The Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1)

The first thing to note is Jim Bolger doesn’t have a runner here having farmed this five out of the last seven years.

That might be a relief to the rest of the trainer’s but on second glance the English trainer’s will still look at the card with a resignation that this is for export. It’s a weak running of the Dewhurst with little strength in number, having whittled down to six, and although War Command sets a high standard you do feel the top two year old’s are at home in their barns.

War Command didn’t set the world alight first time out beating the Jim Bolger trained Intensified  (well beaten in a Dundalk maiden tonight)  by a neck at the Curragh. That led to him going off an unconsidered 20/1 shot for this year’s Coventry but it didn’t stop him hammering the opposition 6 L. Stepped up to G1 next for the Phoenix he looked laboured at the Curragh when third to Sudirman (beaten since) and Big Time . He went some way to restoring his reputation when taking the Beresford last month but again workmanlike was what the eye saw. Friendship is again employed his pacemaker.

Cable Bay’s  race record, one from six looks ordinary yet in those there is a sense of a horse going the right way. He’s built on a maiden to compete consistently in Group company (last four runs at Group level) but has yet to make an impact. He could yet.

Godolphin provide the excitement here. Outstrip is two from three where the defeat was at hands of the subsequent National Stakes winner Toormore. Sandwiched between that was a decent maiden win and authoritative Champagne victory at the Doncaster meeting.

Richard Hannon relies on Anjaal rather than Toormore whose kept for the Racing Post Trophy in two weeks time. Forgettable first time out when eighth he showed that he was a learner winning his maiden next time out and the stepping up on that to put in a battling effort to win the July Stakes here from Figure Of Speech, (beaten five times since).

It’s between the 6/5 War Command and the 6/4 Outstrip. If the War Command that won at Royal Ascot turns up then it’s his but the price won’t do much for your pocket. Backing Outstrip won’t do much for the pocket either and the risk reward on both is all in favour of the layers.

However there’s a chance neither will perform as both have previously done that which brings the 16/1 Cable Bay into the equation. He might not have the ability of the other two but he’s more battled hardened and that might just stand to him if it comes to a fight tomorrow.

Recommendation : Cable Bay 16/1 win

Advertisements

The Craven Stakes (G 3)

Haafhd was the last to go on to glory in the 2000 Guineas when proving a decisive winner of this in 2004. It’s glory days as a trial came in in the mid to late eighties and early nineties when winners included the likes of Shadeed, Dancing Brave, Doyoun, Tirol and Marju who all went to take the Guineas.

This years renewal has attracted a small field of four nevertheless it may prove very informative come Guineas day in May in three weeks time.

Richard Hannon who handled Tirol in 1990 reintroduces the unbeaten Tornado the ante post second favourite on most lists at around 6/1 for the Guineas. As a juvenile he was successful on the three occasions he went to the course. A maiden and Listed victory was followed by victory in the G2 Champagne Stakes over 7 f at Doncaster last year. He’ll go off a short price favourite for this on the back of that two year old campaign.

In the Guineas ante post market the other three are all generally 25 /1 shots.

Dundonnell for Roger Charlton reopposes Tornado having gone down a 1/2 L in the Champagne when he went off favourite. Previous to that he had won twice and looked to be a colt in the making. The Doncaster run was followed by a trip to Santa Anita for the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf where again he went off favourite. He went down 2 1/4 L to George Vancouver having raced over keen early before settling and running on. It was his best race of the season.

Havana Gold also in the care of Richard Hannon is the most experienced runner in the field having run six times winning four including the G 3 Somerville Stakes at Newmarket. His last run was in the Tattersalls Millions Two Year Old Trophy, a restricted race where he was second to Ghurair who is a general 16/1 shot for the Guineas.

Tawhid represents Saeed bin Suroor and completes the line up. As a juvenile he progressed in three maiden runs finishing nowhere, second, winning and in his final appearance a G3 success in the Horris Hill Stakes. That’s an upward curve but how high it will go will now be tested.

That remark does apply to them all. This is afterall an early season trial and all connections will be looking to get something out of he race. It’s context as a Guineas trial will be whether the winner can provide any opposition to Dawn Approach in the ante post lists. A good winner will see him shorten and might see Jim Bolger’s colt lengthen as the market recalibrate’s to the possibility that the Guineas is not just a one horse race.

The one who could justify a change in the market is Dundonnell. Although only fourth at Santa Anita it was a G 1 contest. He’s also a colt who looked like he would improve with maturity and today he might just cause some ripples in the Guineas market.

Recommendation : Dundonnell 7/2 win

The Dubai World Cup (Group 1)

Plenty to capture our attention on the worlds richest days racing.

The Dubai World Cup will round off proceedings with a cool $10 million up for grabs. A look at the ante post market tells you just how open this is with the shortest price being 9/2 and the the longest being 20/1 . There’s no stand out horse, pity Game On Dude isn’t back after his awesome performance in the Big Cap at Santa Anita on March 9th. Then we’d have a proper favourite.

The outsiders in the field are Red Cadeaux and Treasure Beach. The former looked to have lost his way in 2012 albeit in top races including the Coronation  Cup, Melbourne Cup and Japan Cup before coming good when winning the Hong Kong Vase in December.

Treasure Beach an Epsom Derby second and Irish Derby winner when in the hands of Aidan O’Brien also lost his way and has transferred  to Mike de Kock. He ran a steady pleasing run on his debut here for his new trainer wh

Dubai World Cup

Dubai World Cup (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

en beaten 4 1/2 l by Hunters Light on Super Saturday in R3 of the Al Maktoum Challenge. Particularly pleasing was the way he ran on after the line suggesting his form is on the way back and he liked the Tapeta experience. He’s a very live outsider and could well place off an inside draw and a positive ride.

The European team is completed by Plantuer, Meandre and Side Glance. Planteur and Meandre both changed hands during the week for probably shed loads. Planteur won the Lingfield Winter Derby Trial as a prep beating nothing but in a record time winning from the front as he liked. His third here last year definitely gives him a chance after the Lingfiled confidence booster. Andre Farbe’s Meandre  could only manage fourth in his prep on the Chantilly polytrack leaving you relying on the genius of the trainer to see him win this. The Qatar financed Pearl Bloodstock run Side Glance and will have been encouraged by the flourish he showed when running fourth behind Sajjhaa in the Jebel Hatta however a first try on Tapeta is certainly a question mark.

The top of the market is Hunters Light the winner of both R2 and R3 of the Challenge. Both were won in similar circumstances with the Godolphin horse shaping handily running clear to the line without any fuss. He’s discovered maturity and confidence but has yet to do it in a top class test.

The local challenge is supported by the incumbent Monterosso, Capponi, African Story and Kassiano. Monterosso will have needed the run he got in R3 but he will need to come on a ton to win this again. We haven’t seen Capponi since coming second last year so it will be a stunning training feat to pull this off while Kassiano’s form operated at a level suggesting this step up will be too far. African Story is possibly the most interesting of the home challenge. He’s 4/5 on the Meyden Tapeta and would be 5/5 had luck  played it’s part. He overcame an absence of 307 days to win the Burj Nahaar here on Super Saturday having won the same race the year before. The big concern is the trip. He’s never been beyond a mile in fourteen starts over three years racing. Maybe with maturity he’ll see out the 1o f here but….

The three Americans bring some hard nosed form. There headed by the Bill Mott trained Royal Delta a Dirt horse through and through. She’s a top class mare on her home surface winning a Breeders Cup Ladies Classic this last twice. Her prep in the Sabin Stakes shows she’s as good as ever however the obvious concern is her run here last year on the Tapeta where she trailed in ninth to Monterosso albeit having been seriously hampered by a back peddling Transend.

Dullahan hasn’t won since August when he bagged the TVG Pacific Classic on the polytrack at Del mar from Game On Dude. He’s tried twice on turf since in the Jamaica Handicap at Belmont and in the Breeders Cup Turf at Santa Anita where he finished down the field a length in front of Treasure Beach.

Animal Kingdom is a class act. A winner of the Kentucky Derby and second in the Preakness in 2011 he displayed he retains his class when second in the Breeders Cup Mile to Wise Dan and second to Point Of Entry in the Gulfstream Park Turf Handicap. Good form on Turf both times. Can he handle the Tapeta?

When you look at it you can see why it’s priced tight by the bookmakers. No standout, nearly all in with a chance.  Do you rely on track form, those proven on the surface or look at the class of the others even if they’ve previously failed here before?

Planteur should ensure a descent pace leaving it to the speedsters to overhaul him. Hunters Light might be short of gears when push comes to shove and if you go local and proven on the track then African Story might write the final chapter.

If it’s hard nose your after then the stars and stripes brigade are where you look. All three could win it. Royal Delta sitting off Planteur might get away in the last 2 f and see it out. Dullahan in the hands of Gary Stephens could show the defeat of Game On Dude was no fluke and the plan since has always been about this. Animal Kingdom’s turn of foot could be the deciding factor. Boxed in he didn’t get out in time in the Breeders Cup Mile. When he eventually saw daylight he flew. Drawn wide here is usually bad news but it might just work out to come late.

In the end the desert may be the Animal Kingdom.

Recommendation : Animal Kingdom 11/2 win

Treasure Beach 20/1 e/w

Reverse F/C on the two

  Times and Races From Meyden Saturday 30th March 2013

GMT Time Status Pattern Race Distance Age Purse
1.10 G2 Godolphin Mile 1600 Meters (E) Three Year Olds & Up $ 1,000,000
1.45 G3 DRC Gold Cup 3200 Meters (E) Four Year Olds & Up $ 1,000,000
2.25 G2 UAE Derby 1900 Meters (E) Three Year Olds $ 2,000,000
3.05 G1 Al Quoz Sprint 1000 Meters (T) Three Year Olds & Up $ 1,000,000
3.45 G1 Dubai Golden Shaheen 1200 Meters (E) Three Year Olds & Up $ 2,000,000
4.40 G1 Dubai Duty Free 1800 Meters (T) Three Year Olds & Up $ 5,000,000
5.20 G1 Dubai Sheema Classic 2400 Meters (T) Three Year Olds & Up $ 5,000,000
6.05 G1 Dubai World Cup 2000 Meters (E) Three Year Olds & Up $ 10,000,000

 RELATED ARTICLES

AL Maktoum Challenge R 3 (Group 1)

Super Saturday has arrived and with it comes a pair of Group 1’s. We’ll concentrate on the third round of the challenge which sees the return of last years World Cup winner Monterosso. Since winning last years crown he has only seen the racecourse once when going down eighth of nine beaten 33 L in the Eclipse.  Will he need the run today to sharpen him up for the big one in three weeks time?

Opposing him is the Saeed Bin Surror pair Hunter’s Light and Prince Bishop. Hunter’s Light showed himself in good health in Round 2 of the challenge when easily accounting for Surfer by 3 1/2 L building on the form that saw him become an Italian Group 1 last November. In third another 1/4 L behind was Prince Bishop (also third in this last year) who was having his first run since last years World Cup.

Godolphin also run Kassiano and Mendip. For Kassiano a three time winner at the Carnival already this is a big step up in class however he is progressive. Mendip won Round 2 of the Challenge last year and his run in this years Round 2 was his first since last years World Cup run.

Mike De Kock runs the two ex Aidan O’Brien colts Daddy Long Legs and Treasure Beach. Daddy Long Legs showed his liking for the Tapeta surface winning the UAE Derby last year but his form has since long petered out. A similar comment can be added to Treasure Beach, second at Epsom in the 2011 Derby and winner of the Irish equivalent at the Curragh. There was a glimmer of hope in the Joe Hirsh Classic at Belmont last year when second to Point Of Entry but in the Breeders Cup Turf he failed to maintain the form running down the field.

Little Mike the winner of the Breeders Cup Turf makes his debut on Tapeta. He’s been very successfully campaigned on turf in his native USA being a triple Group 1 winner. The Arlington Million and Woodford Reserve being the other two. Will he cope the surface and transfer that turf form?

Japan’s Trailblazer reopposes having run fourth to Little Mike at Santa Anita. He then finished down the field in the Arima Kinen back home.

The heat rises through the day at Meyden and the track riding slick in the morning can turn sticky by night. Some horses cope well with it, others don’t. If Little Mike is in the latter bracket then his class will win out over the locals.

Recommendation : Little Mike 5/1 win