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Royal Ascot Day 2 – Featuring The Prince Of Wales’s Stakes (Group 1)

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Treve’s form is in reality is only enhanced by the defeat in the Prix Ganay by Cirrus Des Aigles.

Cirrus has gone on to take the Prix D’Ispahan and Coronation Cup since and before the Ganay had run a cracker in Dubai behind Gentildonna. The advantage of a run gave Cirrus the edge and the fact that Treve got involved in an epic battle up the straight showed not only has she trained on but also she is a willing fighter with a will to win to match her class.

She’s truly a superb animal, one of the best we’ve ever seen over middle distance’s. She trounced a top class Arc field last year when she had no right to. Lit up early, out of position for most of the race, it didn’t matter she sauntered past them as if they weren’t there.

This field is decent.

Another top class filly in the shape of The Fugue (triple G1 winner, last time in the Irish Champion Stakes), Magician (top class Breeders Cup Turf winner and Irish Guineas winner), Dank (Beverley D winner), Mukhadram (2nd in Dubai World Cup) and a rejuvenated Parish Hall (Dewhurst winner, albeit 2011). They’re all playing for place money. The fact that Jim Bolger continues to let Parish Hall mix it with the best means he’s some faith in him. He ran his best race since that Dewhurst when making Magician battle all the way last time out at the Curragh. He could sneak a place at long odds.

Recommendation : Treve 4/6 win, Parish Hall 80/1 ew (if all 8 run)

In the other races :

The Jersey Stakes (Group 3)

Strong Irish challenge in number and quality, with Surdiman’s two year old form suggesting he’s overpriced. He’s a won the Phoenix Stakes and was second in the National and should strip fitter for a recent run at Naas where he ran out of puff in the closing stages to finish fourth.

Recommendation : Surdiman 25/1 ew

 

The Queen Mary ( Group 2)

Wesley Ward’s Spanish Pipedream will be all the rage after Hootenanny romping home today but Eddie Lynam’s Anthem Alexander a 7 L winner at Tipperary is a worthy second favourite. Maybe she didn’t beat much but like another of yesterday’s winner’s The Wow Signal she’s by Starspangledbanner who showed he’s capable of passing on his speed gene. Eddie know’s how to produce quick one’s too. Wonder if she’s worked with Sole Power?

Recommendation : Anthem Alexander 7/2 win

The Duke Of Cambridge Stakes (Group 2)

Certify is worth another shout, only beaten the once she was overturned by L’Amour De Ma Vie in the Balanchine at the Dubai Carnival having beaten her earlier in the carnival. She was a proper two year old beating Sky Lantern and Purr Along before winning the G1 Fillies Mile by 4 1/2 L’s from Roz.

Recommendation : Certify 14/1 ew

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The Pattern Racing Championships 2013

Pattern Racing is a truly international phenomenon making top class horseracing a global sport. We at Pattern Racing.com have launched a Championship Series to celebrate that.

You’ll find 4 new pages added to the site.

The championship series is simply based, 10 pts for a win, 7 pts for second and 5 pts for third in Grade 1/Group 1 Pattern Races held so far in 2013. (158 so far this year to the 27th September)

The series is not based on money of even importance but treats each race with equal prestiege. If it’s got Grade 1 or Group 1 status it’s treated the same. Countries included are USA, Canada, England, France, Ireland, Germany, Italy, Dubai, Hong Kong, Singapore and Japan. Sorry Australia, next year.

Just click the page tabs above the header to view the detail or alternatively below to bring you to the pages.

We at Pattern Racing hope you’ll find this information useful and helpful in understanding G1 races and what it takes to win or be placed in them.

Congratulations to all who have made the tables as to even achieve 5 points means your operating at the highest level.

To those at the top, human or equine your achievements puts you in the stratosphere where only the rarest air is breathed. To do it once is something but to do it regularly is a true mark of professional brilliance.

Here’s the highlight’s in the 4 different categories.

PATTERN RACING TRAINER’S CHAMPIONSHIP 2013

Top to date : Todd Plecther 192 pts

In Second : Aidan O’Brien 169 pts

In Third : Bob Baffert 107 pts

PATTERN RACING JOCKEY’S CHAMPIONSHIP 2013

Top to date :  John Velazquez 184 pts

In Second : Mike Smith 129 pts

In Third :  J Rosario 107pts

PATTERN RACING HORSE’S CHAMPIONSHIP 2013

Top to date :  Al Kazeem 42 pts

In Second : Declaration Of  War 32 pts

In joint Third : Game On Dude, Novellist, Orb, Princess Of Slymar and Wise Dan. All on 30 pts

PATTERN RACING STALLION’S CHAMPIONSHIP 2013

Top to date :  Galileo 113pts

In Second : Dansili 1o1 pts

In Third :  Dubawi 96pts

The Irish Champion Stakes (G1)

Rain. Will it? Won’t it?

If it does how deep will it get into the Leopardstown ground that is now good to firm.

Enough to put some juice in or enough to turn it good to soft?

Roger Charlton put the defeat of Al Kazeem at York in the International down to the fast ground that day and a little bit of freshness from the break since the Eclipse. He will be praying the forecast rain will be heavier than the 10mm predicted. While 10mm will be enough to put some juice in it won’t be enough to put cut in it. Al Kazeem would be best suited to cut.

He’s the only one of the principles who want to see the rain fall. Declaration Of War proved at York the quicker it is the better for him. The same applies to Trading Leather who just fell short in the International. Both loved hearing their feet rattle across the Knavesmire and in the end the 1 3/4 L that separated them at the line might have had more to do with how the race panned out than the ability of the animal.

Kevin Manning took it on and set the pace at York. He had hoped to take the sting out of the others especially the kick of Toranado but in the end there was no need to worry about that as Toranado was already a spent force after two furlongs. The pace was dream like for Joseph O’Brien who just had to sit off it and press the button in time to let his mount time to get into top gear to power to the line. He said in his post race interview it was his fault he got beat in the Eclipse for not giving Declaration Of War the time to wind up.

The Fugue also loved the ground at York in the Oaks. She powered home on the fast proving herself far superior to her own sex and also put the run in the Eclipse well behind her. The drop in trip to 10 f from 12 f against the boys is the concern.

Two Dewhurst winner’s make the line up.

Aidan O’Brien’s has decided to let Kingsbarns take his chance though surely it’ll be some feat to come out and win this on his seasonal debut. He met a setback before the Guineas and  has been given time to recuperate. He was a good winner of the Dewhurst last year on soft ground 17 days after winning his maiden at Navan on a similar surface. If the rain does come he’ll be backed lower than 6/1 on offer now.

Parish Hall when last seen at the Curragh in May

Parish Hall when last seen at the Curragh in May

Jim Bolger’s 2011 winner Parish Hall, second string here, missed the entire campaign last year through injury and though he made a pleasing enough return at the Curragh in April he then ran below expectations in a Group 3 behind Camelot in May. Jim reported him well earlier this week describing him as a horse who would prefer quick conditions. While reticent to say he couldn’t win he was more pointing to the chances of Trading Leather whom he believed would have a better chance if the predicted easier conditions materialise.

Dermot Weld will be loving the news that the rain’s coming. His mare Princess Highway hasn’t sparkled since beating the Fugue 6 L at Royal Ascot last year in the Ribblesdale. Like Al Kazeem she’ll like some cut but form this year has been disappointing. She was beaten 2 1/2 L in the Blue Wind at Naas in May by Euphrasia when that filly sprung a 33/1 surprise (at 100/1 this time she’ll have to spring a threefold one here). At  the Curragh last time in the Pretty Polly she couldn’t handle the firm and was beaten 7 L by Ambivalent. Any deluge will increase her chances.

The form of the Eclipse and International suggests there is little between Declaration OF War, Al Kazeem and Trading Leather. The factor which will influence most is the ground. Kingbarns and Parish Hall are on the comeback mission but were both high quality two year olds. The fillies The Fugue and Princess Highway are more 12 f than 10 f horses.

It’ll come down to the ground and if it’s 10mm of rain then Trading Leather will cope better than the War and both are just that tiny bit classier than Al Kazeem.

Recommenation : Trading Leather 6/1 win

The Juddmonte International (G 1)

Yorks premier meeting starts with a bang delivering its most important race on the first day of the Ebor festival.

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Jim Bolger will give Kevin Manning the leg up on Trading Leather today in the Juddmonte International Stakes

Last year the question was would Frankel stay 10 f ? It was emphatically answered in a stunning performance when he brushed aside Farrah and the ill fated St Nicholas Abbey who surely would have been here but for sustaining that injury prior to the King George.

The loss of the Ballydoyle colt and the failure of Camelot to reproduce his three year old class means Declaration Of War is now top dog in the Aidan O’Brien yard.

The lowering of the Camelot colours this season came in the Tattersalls Gold Cup at the Curragh when Al Kazeem easily beat him 1 3/4 L in May. The theory was that the Irish horse had not yet fired and the ill effects of the bout of colic he contracted last year were still lingering. Whilst no one was saying Al Kazeem was not deserving of his victory there was a belief order would be restored in the Prince Of Wales Stakes at Royal Ascot. Camelot went off favourite with the Roger Charlton colt playing second fiddle in the market. There was little fire in the belly of Camelot and he trailed in fourth to Al Kazeem who had a neck to spare over Mukahadram and 3 1/2 L over The Fugue with a further 1/2 L back to Camelot.

Two nil to Roger Charlton’s team meant the Ballydoyle team would change strikers in the next match. Come Sandown and the Eclipse the Queen Anne winner Declaration Of War was tasked with taking on Al Kazeem. He failed by 2 L with Roger Charlton’s colt again asserting his superiority. Three Group 1’s in quick succession puts Al Kazeem as the most prolific of the top middle distance performers in training however his success has failed to put him on top in international ratings where his efforts have been awarded a mark of 124.

Ahead of him is Toronado given a mark of 126 for his Sussex Stakes display where he got the better of Dawn Approach by 1/2 L in a pulsating battle with Declaration Of War outclassed 3 L in third over the mile. At the two furlong marker the O’Brien colt looked to be travelling supremely well but as Dawn Approach injected a lethal burst of pace he was found wanting. Under another magnificent ride from Richard Hughes Toronado came with a late kick to nail Dawn Approach.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AmjFctHzzuM

Toronado bypassed a rematch in the Prix Jacques Le Marois where Dawn Approach’s excretions looked to have caught up with him when trailing in a well beaten fifth behind Moonlight Cloud.  The French race was one of the best so far this season and Declaration Of War arguably ran his best race of the season finishing fourth.

Jim Bolger sends Trading Leather who has already shown versatility over a range of distances. Second here in the Dante in the spring over this trip, third in the Irish Guineas over a mile, winner of the Irish Derby over a mile and a half.

In the King George he ran his best race when only finding Novellist (rated 128 for the win) too good going down 5 L to the German horse who is undoubtedly top drawer.

The lightly raced Hillstar was a further 3/4 L behind. It’s surprising Sir Michael Stoute has chosen to bring Hillstar back in trip at this stage of his career but that in itself is a statement of his belief in his charge. You’d worry inexperience may be a factor here.

All in all this looks as it should be, a cracker on paper. We won’t reach the heights of Frankle last year but we still in for a treat.

Al Kazeem rightly stands at the head of the market and as they round the bend and sweep into the straight you would expect James Doyle to kick Al Kazeem on saying to the others catch me if you can. Richard Hughes will tuck away Toranado hopping to slipstream the chasing pack to deliver the late kick. His fear will be that kick won’t be there come those last two furlongs.

Two riders will feel the 10 f will be their horses best trip. Joseph O’Brien and Kevin Manning can both tail along in the straight and if Al Kazeem remains one paced with oxygen depleting in the lungs of Toronado then Trading Leather and Declaration Of War could pounce. The O’Brien colt has more mileage up this year but is a hardy animal who can take his running. The Bolger colt is improving with every run and is in receipt of a three year old weight allowance.

That may well be key come the line at the Knavesmire.

Recommendation : Trading Leather 7/1 win