Tag Archives: Pattern Racing

The Coral Eclipse (G1)

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My Dream Boat just gets the better of Found in The Prince Of Wales’s Stakes. Picture courtesy of Horsephotos and Getty Images.  

Would The Gurkha beat Found? Over 10f? On this ground?

Hymn…

That’s what the market wants us to believe. The Gurkha lost his last race, the St James’s Palace Stakes at the Royal meeting. The view post race was that if rerun, the result would comfortably reverse. The winner Galileo Gold was given a masterful ride by Frankie Dettori who picked him up a furlong out to go 2L clear driving him easily to the line.

When The Gurkha broke from the gate Ryan Moore dropped him in, whether that was by design or not is unclear. What is clear is in doing so he was shuffled back and from then on he struggled with his position. When he got to make his run Frankie had flown and granted he was checked and had to switch outside Awtaad but the reality is he was unable to travel comfortably through the early stages of the race and that is where the damage was done. Over this longer trip that might be less of an issue but will there be enough left in the tank to produce the pace he displayed in winning the French Guineas? That’s what he’ll need to do to win this. Travel and quicken.

Plenty of questions then for The Gurkha to answer.

So let’s go back to the question here. If The Gurkha was to take on Found who would you back to win? Fair chance that if 11/2 was available on the mare you’d take it as opposed to the miserly 10/11 on the colt given her overall level of form.

My Dream Boat is available at 11/2 having beaten Found last time out in the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes over this 10f trip. Found has looked to make a race winning move when she pulled clear of the pack a furlong out. Adam Kirby had My Dream Boat daydreaming at the back. He woke him up, pulled him wide and passed all to catch Ryan Moore by a neck on the line. It was a fabulous ride.

Time Test is running out of time. He missed Royal Ascot because of the give in the ground but Roger Charlton is keen to run now with similar conditions underfoot. He beat Western Hymn here in April over course and distance in the Brigadier Gerard but have connections one eye on the next time out?

Hawkbill is asked to step up on his Group 3 Tercentenary Stakes win at the Royal meeting. He’s on the up having stitched five win’s on the bounce and Godolphin have every right to put him in here. The experience will stand to him.

It’s a fascinating race, the weight of money for The Gurkha since last Sunday would suggest he’s unbeatable. If he is to be found out it’ll be by My Dream Boat.

Recommendation : My Dream Boat 11/2 win

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Lockinge Stakes (G1)

The Hannon factor added to the Godolphin factor makes Toormore favourite here. Between the pair they have won five of the last six runnings with only Frankel in 2012 interrupting the sequence. As a partnership Night Of Thunder did the business for them last year when Toormore ran a fine race in third. At G1 level it was his best run of the season. Therafter he bagged two G2’s beating Dutch Connection in the Lennox Stakes (form he franked on his return this year) and going to Turkey to win the Topkapi Trophy. In between he was beaten in the Queen Anne, Jacques Le Marois, Prix De La Foret and Hong Kong Mile.

He’s worth taking on.

Two who should be considered are Euro Charline and Arod.

Euro charline with Frankie in the plate on her way out for the Matron Stakes last September

Euro Charline with Frankie in the plate on her way out for the Matron Stakes last September

Arod ran third here last year and like the favourite scored at G2 level in the Summer Mile. He then ran a cracker to get within a 1/2L of Solow in the Sussex. That form reproduced here would be enough. Connections were confident enough of his capabilities to send him to Australia to contest the Cox Plate and Emirates Stakes. The trip didn’t work out. Maybe it was the exertions behind Solow or maybe he just wasn’t a traveller. In any event it’s forgivable and he deserves another chance.

Euro Charline has scored at G1 though we’ve to go back to the Beverley D in August of 2014 for that. It’s what she done lately is the encouraging piece. On a spring trip to Dubai she ran second in the Balanchine. That was a prep for the Dubai Turf where she repeated the dose chasing home Japan’s Real Steel. She must be in good form as last year on her return from Dubai she didn’t see a racecourse until July when she ran second in the Falmouth. Marco Botti must feel she’s in good form to bring her back two month’s earlier this year. She has the added benefit of Ryan Moore on her back.

There both worth backing.

Recommendation: Arod 20/1 EW, Euro Charline 20/1 EW

Pattern Racing World Championships 2015 – Part 2

In the previous post we revealed the winners of the first 3 categories of the Pattern Racing World Championships 2015.

Now we’ll reveal the other 3 categories;

Sire, Owner and Breeder.

Below are the top 5 in each category.

Remember – For a G1 placing you get:

Points                1st = 10 pts,                    2nd = 7 pts,                 3rd = 5 pts.

4. Pattern Racing World Championship Category – Sire

Galileo is the Pattern Racing World Champion.

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Photo by Martyn Hayhow courtesy of Getty Images

 

Place

 

Sire

2015 Points Won  

Place

2014 Points Won
1  Galileo (IRE) 257 1 261
2  Dubawi (IRE) 220 6 88
3  Deep Impact (JPN) 169 2 131
4  Tapit (USA) 124 5 92
5  High Chaparral (IRE) 105 3 102

Galileo tops the bill for a second year in a row. His dominance isn’t as pronounced as in 2014 where he had a 130 point cushion over the opposition, effectively 13 G1 wins. This year it’s been reduced to 37 points. It’s not that Galileo’s powers have diminished, he’s only 4 point’s off where he was last year. It’s more about the rise of the younger generation. He had 14 G1 wins from 10 individuals with 11 2nd’s and 8 3rd’s.

Dubawi 6th last year jumped to 2nd this year improving his tally by a whopping 132 points. He had 11 G1 wins from 10 individuals with 10 2nd’s and 8 3rd’s.

Deep Impact, Tapit and High Chaparral all bettered their performances of last year with 6, 5 and 4 G1 winners from 5, 4 and 3 individuals.

Click here for the full list                                             Click here for the full detail

5. Pattern Racing World Championship Category – Owner

Godolphin are the Pattern Racing World Champion.

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Photo by Vince Caligiuri courtesy of Getty Images

Place Owner Points Won
1  Godolphin 372
2  Coolmore 330
3  H H Aga Khan 88
4  U Carrot Farm 82
4  Wertheimer & Frere 82

Godolphin had 12 trainers in 5 countries contribute to their tally. The star was new recruit John O’Shea in Australia whose scored 120 points for them. They won in total, 16 G1’s with another 16 2nd’s and 20 3rd’s. This was a tight race with Godolphin’s global operations just getting the better of Coolmore, the predominately Irish based operation.

Coolmore had 5 trainers contribute with Aidan O’Brien’s 252 point tally for “the lads” being the loins share. They won 18 G1’s with another 15 2nd’s and 9 3rd’s.

The dominance of the leading pair is apparent by the distance back in 3rd to the Aga Khan. The margin between 2nd and 3rd is 242 points equivalent to 24 G1 wins. The Aga Khan had 3 home based trainer’s provide him with 5 G1 win’s, 4 2nd places and 2 3rd places.

In joint fourth, Japan’s U Carrot Farm had 8 trainer’s provide their total of 3 G1’s, 6 2nd’s and 2 3rd’s including raids in Australia where they hauled a G1 win and 2 places.

The brothers Alain and Gerard Wertheimer matched their Japanese counterparts with 2 trainers amassing their total winning, 6 G1’s (5 courtesy of Solow) placing 2nd once with 2 3rd places.

Click here for the full list                                              Click here for the full detail

6. Pattern Racing World Championship Category – Breeder

Darley are the Pattern Racing World Champion.

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Photo by Darrian Traynor courtesy of Getty Images

 

Place Breeder Points Won
1  Darley 241
2  Northern Farm 107
3  Juddmonte Farms Ltd 101
4  Wertheimer Et Frere 94
5  Northern Racing 87

It’s no surprise that Darley come out on top. The strength behind Godolphin will soon to be subsumed into one operation under the tutelage of John Ferguson, the new head of Godolphin. Darley were breeders to 24 horses who scored points with 9 G1’s winners ,13 2nd’s and 10 3rd’s.

Northern Farm had 11 score for them winning 5 G1’s with 4 animals and recording 6 2nd’s and 3 3rd’s.

Juddmonte had 6 score with 2 individuals winning, 8 2nd’s and 5 3rd’s.

The Wertheimer brothers had 5 score winning 7 G1’s with 3 individuals adding 2 2nd’s and 2 3rd’s.

Northern Racing in Japan had 9 score with 3 winning G1’s, 6 2nd’s and 3 3rd’s.

Click here for the full list                                               Click here for the full detail

 

Prix De L’Arc De Triomphe

Golden Horn after winning at Leopardstown

Golden Horn after winning at Leopardstown

Treve’s bid for history has in the last 48 hours gone from some certainty to some doubt judged by the drift in the market from odds on to odds against. Is the market right?

She looked imperious in the Prix Vermille 3 weeks ago when she absolutely smashed the field with the release of her tremendous turn of foot. Thierry Jarnet could hardly contain her. She wanted to cruise, she wanted to travel but those around her were incapable of coming near matching her stride. She made good fillies including Arabian Queen who beat Golden Horn at York look very ordinary. When she was finally given her head she flew and in a matter of strides it was all over. She sauntered up Longchamps home straight digging deep into the very soft turf with each step lifting her further and higher giving her the chance to extend her stride to the full. Magnificent to watch.

Her trainer Criquette Head has timed her season beautifully. Prior to the Vermille she had two spins around Saint Cloud in the Prix Corrida and Grand Prix De Saint Cloud giving her the perfect preparation for this third Arc tilt. Unlike last year everything has gone right and all credit to her trainer as she comes here in the form of her life.

So why has the market got the jitters?

It was after all the same weekend we saw the Champion Stakes and the Prix Vermille. Within 24 hours of Golden Horn’s success at Leopardstown the market decided that Treve’s Vermille performance put considerable distance between her and her all her market rivals. Maybe it was the controversial finish at Leopardstown that clouded the judgement. Golden Horn you felt always had the measure of Free Eagle even if he did put him out of the race.

It’s the ground is the great leveler.

Golden Horn’s owner has expressed the opinion his colt would easily beat Treve on fast ground. Considering last year’s Prince Of Wales’s Stakes it’s a statement not without foundation. Treve couldn’t let herself down on the lighting quick ground at Royal Ascot that day and up against a top class filly who totally loved the surface The Fugue easily had her measure.

The issue here is the ground while very much coming the way of the Golden Horn camp it is still not what he really really wants, quick, lighting quick. That’s the surface that brought out the best in him in the Derby and Eclipse when he could hear his feet rattle. It was not so at York when Arabian Queen turned him over in what was akin to Japan’s Rugby World Cup performance against South Africa. John Gosden’s view has been they got the tactics wrong on the Knavesmire rather than the horse just couldn’t reproduce his speed on a surface less than quick.

So the ground, likely to be good, won’t be either’s first love, the questions are then who’ll like it more than the other and will that be enough to floor the rest of the field.

As ever the Arc produces the best middle distance horses of the last few years to compete against each other. This year is no different. It’s regrettable no Japanese challenger has emerged however New Bay who was given an impossible task in the French Guineas when trying to come from last to first (nearly making it) then showed his class by winning the French Derby. He’s since won on heavy at Deauville and put in a very smooth performance in his prep over course and distance in the Prix Neil.

Free Eagle surely can’t keep revving the engine in the last two furlongs. When he came upsides Golden Horn at Leopardstown he looked to be in top gear and it’s hard to imagine his stamina will stretch another two furlongs. Found will pose more of a threat. She was forgotten in the controversy but she ran a fine race to be second and will surely benefit from the step up in trip. She’ll also benefit from the weight for age and fillies allowances from the field. Mention must also be made of Tapestry the Yorkshire Oaks winner of last year (where she beat Taghrooda) who made a highly encouraging return to the track in the Blandford Stakes.

Found leaves the ring at Leopardstown

Found leaves the ring at Leopardstown

Of the others Flintshire returned to winning ways in America in the Sword Dancer having chased down Treve here last year. The three-year old Erupt did exactly that in his first four runs but hated the soft ground in the Prix Neil. Eagle Top was beaten a nose by Postponed in the King George who then ran a faster time than Treve in the Prix Foy. There all good horses.

As ever the Arc will produce a cracking race. Treve has to match Corrida (1936 & 1937 winner) as the only mare to win it as a five-year old. Golden Horn or New Bay on the other hand would join a long list of winning three-year old colts. Should either prevail they would be the 47th to do it. Found would be the 13th three-year old filly. History is not on Treve’s side.

The draw often is a feature in the Arc. Treve is drawn in the middle in stall 8 which means she might encounter traffic problems. Golden Horn and Found must overcome wide draws from 14 and 15.

With the pacemaker drawn in 2 New Bay breaking from stall 5 is given a considerable advantage. He can break and track the pacemaker and when she falls away take control of the race and steal a march on them. If Treve’s trapped in a pocket there’ll be serious questions asked of her turn of foot. She’ll no doubt answer and with Golden Horn, Tapestry and Found coming there too it promises to be mouth watering finish. New Bay can hold on.

Recommendations: New Bay 5/1 win 

                                        Found and Tapestry coupled on the pari mutual e/w