Tag Archives: Newmarket

20 Group/Grade 1’s Around The World This Weekend

Saturday

Australia

Winx kicks off the action in the Turnbull Stakes in her last race at Flemington looking to take her sixth G1 of the season in her final prep race before her historic attempt to win her fourth Cox Plate in a few weeks time. We all routing for her, Chris Waller says she’s more forward in her coat and looking even better than she did this time last year. 

Also down under the feature at Randwick is the Spring Champion Stakes, a race restricted to three-year old’s over 10f. 

England 

Laurens entering the parade ring at Leopardstown

Laurens returns to Newmarket for the one mile Sun Chariot Stakes in pursuit of her for her fourth G1 of the year. Last time out she captured the Matron Stakes over the same trip having won her two previous G1’s over 10f. She outgunned Alpha Centauri, subsequently reported injured and retired, down the straight. There’s a quartet of Coolmore fillies in opposition with Ballydoyle sending three, Clemmie, Happily and I Can Fly with Andre Fabre sending Wind Chimes from France. The latter two can make Laurens work for it, I Can Fly was the best winner over Irish Champions Weekend and Wind Chimes was unlucky to just get caught here by Recoletos in the Moulin a couple of weeks ago.

Recommendation: Wind Chimes 3/1 win

France

The Arc weekend begins with the Prix Du Cadran, a stayer’s race over 20f taking centre stage. Holdthasigreen will go off favourite on the Pari Mutual. Wille Mullins Max Dynamite might hold the key here after a good second to stablemate Thomas Hobson in the Doncaster Cup last time. He’s an eight year old but he keeps on giving for Rich Ricci.

Recommendation: Max Dynamite win bet on the PMU

USA

In America Belmont hosts the Beldame on Dirt, a 3yo+ for Fillies and Mares over 1m and the Champagne Stakes for Two Year old’s over the same trip. Ben Cecil, Henry’s nephew, might make the G1 breakthrough with Listing who ships from his Santa Anita Californian base in the latter.

Keenland has the First Lady Stakes on Turf, the Breeders’ Futurity on Dirt and their highlight, the Shadwell Turf Mile.

Godolphin supply a European raider in the First Lady, Henri Pantall’s Crown Walk makes the journey on the back of her good second in the Prix Rothchild to With You at Deauville.

Recommendation: Crown Walk 5/1 win

It’s disappointing that no European’s have travelled for the $1m Shadwell Turf Mile won last year by David O’Meara’s Suedios however we’ll give a big shout for the outsider Great Wide Open trained by Conor Murphy who moved from Nicky Henderson’s yard after skinning the bookmakers a few years ago at Cheltenham. He was not far off Wesley Ward’s Bound For Nowhere last time who trades at 8/1 for this.

Recommendation: Great Wide Open 50/1 ew

Sunday

France

Europe’s premier middle distance race is the feature, the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe in which Enable is a short price favourite at even money to repeat her victory of last year. Her season has not gone to plan with injury delaying her return until Kempton, she looked a picture when easily accounting for Crystal Ocean appearing to retain her ability. Sea Of Class, the year younger filly will put it up to her and Ballydoyle’s brace of Leger winners Kew Gardens, this year and Capri last year, aren’t out of it with the three-year old having won a G1 over course and distance in July. Capri has been laid out for this.

Recommendation: Kew Gardens, Capri (coupled on PMU)

The card features another five G1’s with the two-year old’s contesting the Prix Marcel Boussac for Fillies and the Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere open to both colts and fillies, both over a mile.

Godolphin are double handed in the Boussac with Charlie Appleby sending Ceratonia and Saeed Bin Suroor responsible for Dubai Beauty. They’ll have it all to do to upset the favourite Rocques who beat the Appleby runner comfortably last time out.

Recommendation: Rocques 1/1 win

They might have a better chance in the Lagardere with Royal Marine however Freddy Head’s Anador likely to be popular on the PMU with the home fans.

The older fillies will contest Prix De L’Opera over 10f, again a quality contest with Godolphin’s Wild Illusion, Coolmore’s Magic Wand and George Strawbridge’s With You all in with a shout. Preference is for With You should Crown Walk frank the form of their Deauville run in the First Lady at Keenland.

Recommendation: With You 3/1 win

Next is the turn of the sprinters over the minimum trip in the Abbaye. Battaash will still be most people’s answer after his devastating performance when wining this last year. He’s not displayed the same level of form this year and he’s worth opposing with Aidan O’Brien’s Sioux Nation and Darren Bunyan’s Hit The Bid who were third and fourth in the Flying Five a couple of weeks ago, Son Of Rest gave that form a boost when winning the Ayr Gold Cup last week.

Recommendation: Sioux Nation and Hit The Bid – (both ew on the PMU)

The Floret over 7f for older horses then rounds off the weekend and Pollydream will be all the rage on the PMU after her win in the Prix Maurice de Gheest at Deauville. Gustav Klimt will keep her honest, his overall form being good quality with the last run in the Haydock Sprint Cup being particular relevant.

Recommendation: Gustav Klimt 7/1 win

The Pattern Racing World Championships 2018

You can follow the story of the G1 Pattern Race year by clicking on the links below. There you’ll find how the 222 G1’s already run this year have panned out in championship format.

PRWC 2018 Horse, PRWC 2018 Jockey, PRWC 2018 Trainer, PRWC 2018 Sire, PRWC 2018 Owner, PRWC 2018 Breeder

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Group 1 Action This Weekend

There is Group 1 and Grade 1 action aplenty this weekend.

On Saturday Randwick in Sydney, Australia hosts three G1’s, the Flight Stakes, Metropolitan Stakes and the feature the Epsom Handicap with prize money of $1m for a race over a mile for older horses. Trainer Chris Waller is mob handed with eight of the eighteen runners and this can provide him an opportunity to close the gap on Aidan O’Brien in the PWRC 2018 Trainer standings.

On Sunday Caulfield runs the Hyland Race Colours Underwood Stakes with Goldophin’s Charlie Appleby running Blair House. He’ll hope he can repeat his G1 win of last weekend when Jungle Cat took top honours at G1 level at the same venue. Also on Sunday Japan resumes it’s G1 programme after a summer break with the Sprinters Stakes at Nakayama where Joao Moreira will have his first top level ride since being granted a licence to ride in Japan. They’ll miss his magic in Hong Kong.

At Newmarket, England the two-year olds take centre stage with the Cheveley Park for fillies and Middle Park for colts both over 6f sharing the bill. In the former Lady Kaya caught the eye at the Curragh when second in the Moyglare and could run well stepping down in trip from 7f.

In the States the build up really begins for the Breeders Cup with Belmont in New York hosting the Vosburgh, Joe Hirsch Turf Classic and Jockey Club Gold Cup with the latter a Breeders Cup trial on dirt over 1m2f. Diversify will go off favourite after his win in the Whitney Invitational last time out.

European interest is piqued here with the worlds two biggest owners adding spice to the mix. Coolmore run Mendelssohn and Godolphin saddle the Dubai World Cup winner, Thunder Snow. Ryan Moore travels for the ride on Mendelssohn, he currently leads PRWC 2018 Jockey and a win can extend his slim margin over Mike Smith and Jose Ortiz. Jose will have three opportunities to bridge the gapIn the owners championship there are only 10 points between Coolmore and Godolphin (1 win) at the top of PRWC 2018 Owner.

On the west coast Santa Anita has four Grade 1’s on Saturday, the Rodeo Drive Stakes, Chandelier Stakes, American Pharoah Stakes and the feature the Awesome Again Stakes, another Breeders Cup Classic trial. Accelerate will go off a short odds on price on the back on his win in the TVG Pacific Classic and a win here could push him up to third in the PRWC 2018 Horse. On Sunday the Zenyatta Stakes is the feature race with Able Tazman likely to go off favourite.

A busy weekend of G1 action which could have a big impact on the standings of PWRC’s six category championships. It’s G1 status that binds it all together. It’s PRWC 2018 that makes the participants performances comparable.

By the time Ryan Moore flies back across the Atlantic he may well be in second place in the jockey’s championship should Jose Ortiz score well at Belmont or Mike Smith score well at Santa Anita.

Blair House’s run in Australia and Thunder Snow’s run in the USA could send Godolphin to the top of the Owners Championship or maybe Ten Sovereigns at Newmarket or Mendelssohn’s American campaign will keep Coolmore on top.

One thing for sure Aidan O’Brien will stay top of the Trainer Championship. 

Recommendation :

2.25 GMT Cheveley Park Stakes, Newmarket – Lady Kaya 8/1 win

Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (G 1)

Alpha Centauri after winning the Tattersalls Irish 1000 Guineas

It looks a one horse race, when Alpha Centauri heard her feet rattle she showed herself to be a cut above the rest. She blasted the field at the Curragh in the Tattersalls Irish 1000 Guineas beating the Ballydoyle inmates Could It Be Love and Happily. She repeated the feat in the Coronation Stakes at Ascot where she was even more impressive giving Mark Johnston’s Treading a 6 L trouncing.

The only issue you could crap about is the depth of the form. The two beaten at the Curragh, Could It Be Love and Happily, have both been beaten since. Could It Be Love ran third in the Jersey at Royal Ascot and was then second in the Browntown Stakes to Xenobia at Fairyhouse the other night.  That an interesting piece of form as it ties in one of the older mares here, Mick Channon’s Opal Tiara. She went to Ireland last time where she sprang a surprise beating another Ballydoyle inmate Hydrangea at G2 level in the Landwades Stud Stakes with Xenobia 12 L back in fifth.

Clemmie was European Champion two year old filly last year and at the beginning of the season she was, you would have thought, numero uno filly at Ballydoyle. She had a setback that meant she missed Newmarket’s Guineas however she did start at the Curragh and at Ascot where she was well beaten both times by Alpha Centauri.

On the plus side she needed her first two run’s last season also before we saw the real Clemmie. She finished her juvenile career with a cracking win in the Cheveley Park but again if your crabby, the form is now questionable as she beat Different League, since purchased by Coolmore, who hasn’t managed a win in five runs this year.

Mark Johnston’s second runner Nyaleti adds some spice having won the German 1000 Guineas last time out and it’s worth noting she was also only beaten a 1/2 L by Laurens in last year’s May Hill at Doncaster, good form now.

Arabian Hope, third in this last year and Altyn Orda complete the field. The latter ran fifth at Newmarket in the Guineas but couldn’t build on that last time out in France in the Prix de Sandringham.

Alpha Centauri is an unbackable price for most trading at 1/3 on however there might still be an opportunity in the place and each way markets for a small interest. Unfortunately there are only seven runners which restricts the play to first and second.

Opal Tiara is having her last racecourse run, she is in foal to Churchill, something that might just tilt the age weight concession here for her. Xenobia’s win last Sunday puts her in the mix and she’s already taken a big scalp in Ireland when beating a double G1 winner in Hydrangea.

She could depart West Issley leaving a big smile on Mick Channon’s face.

Recommendation: Opal Tiara  40/1 ew

 

 

Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (G1) & Kentucky Derby (G1)

US Navy Flag on Debut at Naas last year

It’s Wednesday before the first classic of the season on Saturday, the 2000 Guineas. It might be three days away but already the forgotten horse in this field is surely US Navy Flag.

On official ratings he’s 9 lbs clear of his stablemate and current 5/2 race favourite Gustav Klimt and 2 lbs clear of his other stable companion and 5/1 second favourite Saxon Warrior yet the market puts him in as a 20/1 shot.

Granted he was beaten 15L by Gustav Klimt on his seasonal debut in the Leopardstown Guineas Trial three weeks ago but that was on heavy ground and his form of last year would suggest he has a strong chance of bridging that gap on ground that could ride good come Saturday afternoon.

He’s obviously a hardy soul having raced eleven times last year improving throughout the season. He was on the go from early May when he made his debut at Naas through to November at Del Mar where he contested the Juvenile Dirt at the Breeders Cup. He didn’t handle the surface and was well beaten there hence the change in the Ballydoyle plans where Mendelssohn became the choice for the Kentucky Derby.

Go back one run and you’ll find he was a good winner of the Dewhurst over 7f where he got the better of Mendelssohn, now joint favourite for the Kentucky Derby and prior to that he’d shown a serious turn of foot to win the Middle Park over six furlongs, the first G1 he captured.

The question is, is he a sprinter or a miler?

His debut at Naas was over 5f which proved too sharp however up to the Middle Park his runs were all then at 6f.

He’s by War Front out of Misty For Me. She got a mile and then some so you’d say he’s likely to find this mile within his compass and when asked he’d no problem in stepping up to 7f in the Dewhurst.

He has something else going for him, besides being a double G1 winner. His stable companions, who lead the betting here, have not yet encountered Newmarket’s famous dip before. It can unbalance a horse who lacks experience. Gustav Klimt did win the Superlative Stakes at Newmarket but that was over the July course and Saxon Warrior will encounter the course for the first time.

US Navy Flag on the other hand bossed both the Middle Park and Dewhurst grabbing the ground and powering out of the dip on both occasions. With the ground drying out and that crucial course experience it’s likely the 20/1 won’t last, come post time he could be a lot shorter.

A few hours later Mendelssohn will take his chance in the Run For The Roses in Kentucky. His prep run in Dubai on dirt was nothing short of stunning winning by a going away 18L and Aidan O”Brien reports him in rude health now. If he reproduces what he did in Dubai and what what he did in chasing home US Navy Flag last year in the Dewhurst he’ll be very hard to stop.

Recommendations: US Navy Flag 20/1 e/w

                                         Mendelssohn 9/2 e/w

                                           US Navy Flag, Mendelssohn  e/w double