Tag Archives: Newmarket July Meeting

July Cup (G1)

Lightening quick at Newmarket today, Raffle Prize set a new course record of 1m 9.09s in the G2 Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes over the 6F July Course, bettering the 1m 09.11 Lethal Force clocked winning this in 2013.

It could fall again tomorrow. The race brings the meeting of the three-year-old’s and their older brethren.

The older brigade sees Limato back, winner in 2016, second in 2017, he showed his well being winning the G3 Criterion Stakes over 7F here two weeks ago. Likewise Brando, second last year, third the year before, he had a confidence booster with a Hamilton win over the trip a month ago. They’ll have to defy history as no seven-year-olds have won this.

If it is to go to an older horse, the five-year-old’s Dream Of Dreams, a typical Sir Micheal Stoute improver, just failed to catch Blue Point in the G1 Diamond Jubilee, and Cape Byron, the Wokingham winner must come into the reckoning.

Of of five three-year-olds, Advertise with Frankie Dettori in the plate heads the market at 3/1, he commands the highest respect, racing against his own age group he was a convincing winner of the G1 Commonwealth Cup, (Ten Sovereigns, 2½L behind in fourth), beaten only by Too Darn Hot and Calyx as a two-year-old, he was a G1 winner in Ireland in the Pheonix Stakes from So Perfect (re-opposes here).

The other three-year-old’s, Pretty Pollyanna and Fairyland, both fillies, were pacey sorts as juveniles, Pretty Pollyanna took the Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes here last year following up in the G1 Prix Morny, Fairyland bagged the G1 Cheveley Park here in September. Both were tried at a mile, Fairyland ran fifth at Newmarket in the 1000 Guineas, sixth at the Curragh in the Irish 1000 Guineas, then dropped to 5F where she’d a good run behind Blue Point in the G1 King’s Stand Stakes. Pretty Pollyanna second at the Curragh, showed a nice turn of foot, ran seventh in the Coronation Stakes, the drop in trip will surely be to her benefit.

The three-year-olds have had the upper hand in the last five years, three wins, Muhaarar in 2015, Harry Angel in 2017 and US Navy Flag in 2018, all colt’s. The trend could continue, with a twist, one of the fillies, getting a 3 lb pull from their peers and more from the older one’s might outpace them, turning Newmarket into a Fairyland.

Recommendation: Fairyland 8/1 win

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Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (G 1)

Alpha Centauri after winning the Tattersalls Irish 1000 Guineas

It looks a one horse race, when Alpha Centauri heard her feet rattle she showed herself to be a cut above the rest. She blasted the field at the Curragh in the Tattersalls Irish 1000 Guineas beating the Ballydoyle inmates Could It Be Love and Happily. She repeated the feat in the Coronation Stakes at Ascot where she was even more impressive giving Mark Johnston’s Treading a 6 L trouncing.

The only issue you could crap about is the depth of the form. The two beaten at the Curragh, Could It Be Love and Happily, have both been beaten since. Could It Be Love ran third in the Jersey at Royal Ascot and was then second in the Browntown Stakes to Xenobia at Fairyhouse the other night.  That an interesting piece of form as it ties in one of the older mares here, Mick Channon’s Opal Tiara. She went to Ireland last time where she sprang a surprise beating another Ballydoyle inmate Hydrangea at G2 level in the Landwades Stud Stakes with Xenobia 12 L back in fifth.

Clemmie was European Champion two year old filly last year and at the beginning of the season she was, you would have thought, numero uno filly at Ballydoyle. She had a setback that meant she missed Newmarket’s Guineas however she did start at the Curragh and at Ascot where she was well beaten both times by Alpha Centauri.

On the plus side she needed her first two run’s last season also before we saw the real Clemmie. She finished her juvenile career with a cracking win in the Cheveley Park but again if your crabby, the form is now questionable as she beat Different League, since purchased by Coolmore, who hasn’t managed a win in five runs this year.

Mark Johnston’s second runner Nyaleti adds some spice having won the German 1000 Guineas last time out and it’s worth noting she was also only beaten a 1/2 L by Laurens in last year’s May Hill at Doncaster, good form now.

Arabian Hope, third in this last year and Altyn Orda complete the field. The latter ran fifth at Newmarket in the Guineas but couldn’t build on that last time out in France in the Prix de Sandringham.

Alpha Centauri is an unbackable price for most trading at 1/3 on however there might still be an opportunity in the place and each way markets for a small interest. Unfortunately there are only seven runners which restricts the play to first and second.

Opal Tiara is having her last racecourse run, she is in foal to Churchill, something that might just tilt the age weight concession here for her. Xenobia’s win last Sunday puts her in the mix and she’s already taken a big scalp in Ireland when beating a double G1 winner in Hydrangea.

She could depart West Issley leaving a big smile on Mick Channon’s face.

Recommendation: Opal Tiara  40/1 ew

 

 

The July Cup (Group 1)

Embed from Getty Images

Caravaggio wins the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot. Picture courtesy of Getty Images and Mike Hewitt.

Caravaggio is a ball of speed.

Rumors suggest he’s clocked 47 miles per hour over 2 furlongs on the gallops at Ballydoyle. Aidan O’Brien has confirmed he’s the quickest they’ve had ever at home and today against the older brigade he put’s his unbeaten record on the line. Should he win he will extend that run to seven.

Should he win in the style he’s capable of it will be no surprise if it’s his last run.

Coolmore will surely be very tempted to retire him to fill the hole left in their stallion rooster by the untimely death of his father Scat Daddy. His value of a stallion will far exceed any winnings he might pick up in the future on the racecourse.

As fans it will be our loss. The three year old middle distance division might look a bit muddled this year, that’s something that can’t be said about the sprinters.

Harry Angel’s connections won’t be complaining should Caravaggio be called ashore after this. They’ve a seriously good sprinter on their hands and without Caravaggio around he’ll shine brightly. All that said he was flattered to be only 3/4 L behind Caravaggio at Ascot. The other three year old in the field is Intelligence Cross who will set the fractions for the favourite.

The older brigade is headed by Limato who put in his best display when winning this last year as a four old. Since then he’s won the Prix de la Foret over 7 F at Chantilly however he was beaten over the minimum 5 f trip in the Nunthorpe at York last year and failed to see out the mile at the Breeders Cup at Santa Anita. This year the yielding ground beat him at Meydan on his comeback and he was then a fair third in the Diamond Jubilee when The Tin Man and Tasleet got the better of him. Both reoppose here.

That was a big turnaround for The Tin Man as Tasleet had 6 1/4 L to spare over him on their previous meeting in the Duke Of York Stakes at York in May. His trainer James Fanshawe says he doesn’t do that well in the spring. He likes summer and also the autumn as he showed when he won the Champions Sprint at Ascot last year when he beat Growl and Brando. Both the latter two will have to put in career best’s to be involved here. The same can be said of Mr Lupton and Intisaab.

Michael Tabor part owner of Caravaggio said when discussing his chances that Aidan O’Brien doesn’t say it for the sake of it, he really thinks Caravaggio is something special. An opinion that is backed up by the clock on the run at Ascot. He feels he’s every bit as good as Ballydoyle’s great sprinters of the past Stravinsky and Mozart who both won this as three year old’s.

It might be the last time we’ll see him, the performance could be that special.

Recommendation: Caravaggio 11/10 win

 

 

 

 

 

The July Meeting -The Falmouth Stakes (Group 1) & Cherry Hinton Stakes (Group 2)

The Group 1 Falmouth Stakes has attracted three French, two Irish and six home fillies and mares to Newmarket in search of summer glory. Sizzling it won’t be. Again we’re let down by the weather and once more the word soft dictates the going description.

The Andre Fabre trained Golden Lilac is a shade of odds on at 10/11 in an attempt to win her seventh race from eight starts. She come here off the back of a Prix D’Ispahan (G1) win over Cirrus Des Ailges and Planteur, her first outing this year. Last year she won the Poule d´Essai des Pouliches ( G1) and Prix de Diane (G1) and you would expect her to improve from the D’Ispahan run. She’s a worthy favourite.

Giofra is the French backup. She bypassed an engagement in the Eclipse at the weekend in favour of this opportunity to take on her own sex. She won first time out this year and then on her second start was 8 L in arrears of Cirrus Des Ailges in the Prix Ganay (G1) (ground near bottomless). Again you’d expect her to come on for the run. Siyouma completes the Gallic raiding party on the back of her proximity to Solemia and Shareta in the Prix Corrida (G2) over 10 f at Lonchamp.

Improvement is something we’ll have to get if Maybe is to trouble the judge. She’s been disappointing this year after a flawless juvenile career. Although she travelled in the 1000 Guineas (G1) she didn’t pick up and in the Oaks (G1) she didn’t quite get home. Aidan O’Brien has given her some time in skipping the Coronation Stakes and this step back in trip was always on the cards after the Oaks.

The John Oxx team got a boost going into the race with the performance of Marvada who took the Brownstown Stakes(G3) at Naas last night. Alanza had got the better of her in the Ballycorus (G3) on her last start. The trainer never travels unless he’s confident of being in the mix.

The home are made up of the John Gosden pair Joviality and Elusive Kate, the Henry Cecil trained Chachamaidee, Barefoot Lady from the Richard Fahey yard, Lay Time for Andrew Balding and from the Mahmood Al Zarooni yard Irish History. William Buick has opted for Joviality having won the Windsor Forest (G2) at Royal Ascot where she had the Cecil, Balding and Fahey fillies in behind. He may have well have had a difficult choice as Elusive Kate was a very progressive two year old only finding the trip to Churchill Downs beyond her for the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G2). She’d previously won the Prix Marcel Boussac (G1) beating the July Cup bound Fire Lily.You’d imagine John will have the measure of the Godolphin filly Irish History (third in the Coronation to two of his).

Golden Lilac sets the standard but she’s had one blip on her career, at Deauville where she went down to Galikova on good to soft. That hole in her form gives hope to the others and the one with some from on the soft,well maybe just Maybe, a winner on the ground at Royal Ascot last year.

In the Cherry Hinton Sendmylovetorose should be supported (see the post on Day 4 of Royal Ascot). She was withdrawn having become upset in the stalls and then next time out won a Group 3 at the Curragh. She’ll love the ground.

Recommendations

Cherry Hinton Stakes – Sendmylovetorose 5/2 win

Falmouth Stakes – Maybe 8/1