Tag Archives: Lonchamp

Emirates Poule d’Essai des Poulains (Group 1) (3yo Colts) (Turf) (3yo)

US Navy Flag on Debut at Naas last year

US Navy Flag missed Newmarket. Aidan O’Brien decided to keep him for this assignment instead. We have undated our blog of last week on the Qipco 2000 Guineas where we concentrated on US Navy Flag whom we hoped would win there.

He was beaten 15L by Gustav Klimt on his seasonal debut in the Leopardstown Guineas Trial four weeks ago on heavy ground but his form of last year would suggest he has a strong chance in this race.

He’s obviously a hardy soul having raced eleven times last year improving throughout the season. He was on the go from early May when he made his debut at Naas through to November at Del Mar where he contested the Juvenile Dirt at the Breeders Cup. He didn’t handle the surface and was well beaten there hence the change in the Ballydoyle plans where Mendelssohn became the choice for the Kentucky Derby.

Go back one run and you’ll find he was a good winner of the Dewhurst over 7f where he got the better of Mendelssohn and prior to that he’d shown a serious turn of foot to win the Middle Park over six furlongs, the first G1 he captured.

The question is, is he a sprinter or a miler?

His debut at Naas was over 5f which proved too sharp however up to the Middle Park his runs were all then at 6f.

He’s by War Front out of Misty For Me. She got a mile and then some so you’d say he’s likely to find the mile within his compass and when asked he’d no problem in stepping up to 7f in the Dewhurst. He bossed both the Middle Park and Dewhurst grabbing the ground and powering out of the dip on both occasions. He could do the same here.

The Ballydoyle horses always come on a lot from their first run and if that applies to US Navy Flag then he’s got a great chance here. If we thought him good enough to win at Newmarket then we think he’s good enough to take the French equivalent.

Recommendations: US Navy Flag 8/1 e/w

                                         

 

 

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Irish Champions Day 2 and Arc Trials Day

The Grey Gatsby returns having won The Irish Champions Stakes

The Grey Gatsby returns having won The Irish Champions Stakes

Cracking days racing yesterday at Leopardstown.

The action moves on to the Curragh today with another 3 Group 1’s with the limelight switching to the two year olds with the Moyglare Stakes for the fillies and the National Stakes for the colts.

In the Moyglare Cursory Glance represents the Leger winning combination of Roger Varian and Andrea Atzeni. She comes here having run second to an extremely fast filly in Tiggy Wiggy in the Lowther at York a few weeks ago where she had Anthem Alexander back in third. Very decent form.

The other English runners Malabar and Osaila are both pattern race winners having taken the Prestige Stakes at Goodwood and the Princess Margret at Ascot respectively putting both in the window for this. They were both behind Cursory Glance in the Albany so have to turn over the form but both have gone the right way since.

Aidan runs four with the once raced Found being the pick of Joseph. She was an unconsidered 14/1 shot when she beat her stalemate Together Forever here last month on the bridle. This is a major step up in class but the way she did it last time suggests she mightn’t light up the gallops at home but saves her best for the racecourse. Simply A Star has the most experience having seven runs yielding one win and placed each time in the other six. There’s some decent form in those efforts. Second to Accepted (3rd in the Flying Childers at Doncaster on Friday) and third to Ainippe twice means she’ll outrun her price of 50/1.

The National is disappointing numerically with no horse there to pick up the €3000 sixth prize. It’s hard to see beyond Gleneagles though if there is to be a surprise, as we had yesterday with Australia, then Jim Bolger’s Hall Of Fame who already has the scalp of John F Kennedy (impressive winner of the Juvenile Turf yesterday) could be the provider.

In the Irish Leger Pale Mimosa can put it up to Leading Light while over at Longchamp for Arc trials day there’s plenty to keep an eye on.

Treve in the Vermille is vulnerable to the John Gosden pair of Pomology and Sultanina with Pomology preferred. Kingsbarns might fulfill his potential in the Prix Foy with Ryan Moore aboard who can also boot Adelaide home in the Prix Neil.

Recommendations :

The Moyglare Stakes Simply A Star 50/1 e w 

The National Stakes Hall Of Fame 16/1 ew 

The Irish Leger Pale Mimosa 5/1 win

Prix Neil Adelaide 5/1 ew 

Prix  Vermille Pomology PMU Price

Prix Foy Kingsbarns 12/1 win

 

 

The Tenno Sho (Spring) (Group 1), The Audemars Piguet QE 11 Cup (Group 1), The Prix Ganay (Group 1)

On Sunday as the sun crosses the globe we can follow the Group 1 action from Japan, Hong Kong and France.

The Tenno Sho (Spring) (Group 1) Post Time 7.40 AM GMT

Run over 3200 meters (2 miles) for older horses at Kyoto the “Emperor’s Prize”  is the longest Group 1 on the Japanese pattern calendar. It has attracted an international candidate in the shape of Red Cadeaux from the Ed Dunlop yard. This gelded son of Cadeaux Genereux has turned into a money machine with earnings of over £3 million. £1.2m of that came when he ran a fantastic second last time out in the Dubai World Cup to Animal Kingdom. He never threatened the American horse but he did come form a long way back to mow down all but the winner over a distance well short of his best. This extra 6 f will certainly suit and the quick surface will also be to his benefit.

The winners prize of just short of £1m has to be well within his compass considering prior to Dubai he won the Hong Kong Vase a short head from Jaguar Mail (who opposes here) who was the winner of this in 2010.

He’ll have to overcome the home team led by Gold Ship. As a three year old last year he won the  Japanese 2000 Guineas and St Ledger. He didn’t manage the Derby running fifth but he did take the Arima Kinen (the second richest race in Japan) in December over 15 f the first time he met the older horses.Others to consider are Tosen Ra and Fenomeno.

If Ed Dunlop’s charge can reproduce his Dubai effort then there is a great chance that we will see the first international winner of this prestigious race.

Recommendation : Red Cadeaux 7/1 win

The Audemars Piguet QE 11 Cup (Group 1) Post Time 9.35 AM GMT

Another cracking international contest this time over 10 f. The visitors include Eishin Flash from Japan who was 3 1/4 L off Gold Ship in the Arima Kinen. His best form was in the Tenno Sho (Autumn) over this distance in October when he beat Fenomeno a 1/2 L. Mike De Kock sends his star South African filly Igugu and the ex Irish Treasure Beach. The filly is on a bit of a retrieval mission having left her form at home when three runs in Dubai proved fruitless. Treasure Beach’s trip to Dubai also proved fruitless but there was certainly a glimmer of hope for a return to the form of his three year old career which saw him run second to Pour Mio in the Epsom Derby and win the Irish Derby at the Curragh.

There will undoubtably be a huge spotlight on Saeed bin Suroor’s Sajjhaa representing Goldophin. The boys in blue  will be hopping this filly can end their most horrendous week on a high. She had a hugely successful Dubai carnival where she was unbeaten in four runs the last two at G1 level The Jebbel Hatta and Dubai Duty Free where she beat Mike De Kock’s The Apache both times.

The home team is led by Ambitious Dragon, California Memory and Akeed Mofeed. Ambitious Dragon has never raced outside Hong Kong however he was a winner of the Hong Kong Mile in December and beat California Memory in this race last year. California Memory took the Hong Kong Cup at the international meeting in December.

Akeed Mofeed was one we thought a lot of as a two year old when he was spoken about as a potential superstar. Things didn’t work out for him and he was sold out of the John Oxx yard for reputably $2m. He’s run four times in Hong Kong winning the last two which were local G1’s. Last time out was the Hong Kong Derby open to four year olds that juvenile potential was ignited and the engine we thought was there has finally been switched on.

Expect him to show he’s come of age here.

Recommendation : Akeed Mofeed 5/1 win, Treasure Beach 33/1 ew

Prix Ganay (Group 1) Post Time 2.40 PM GMT

The first European Group 1 of the season is an entirely French affair. Giofra will most likely go off favourite on the pari mutuel. She beat Elusive Kate in the Falmouth Stakes last July at Newmarket and was second to California Memory in December in the Hong Kong Cup. She’d an interrupted prep for the Dubai Duty Free where she finished well 2 1/2 l behind Sajjhaa.

Recommendation : Giofra 5/2 win 

Poule D’Essai Des Poulains (Group 1)

French Guineas day.

Christophe Soumillon won’t do it again, not in this race. In the Prix De Fontaineblue, Dabirsim was beaten a short head by Dragon Pulse when attempting the mile for the first time. Cruising on the bridle the Morny and Jean Luc Lagardere winner proved he retained the ability which had him rated joint top two year old in Europe. He was caught by a very smart colt who saw out every inch of the mile. Now in the hands of Mickael Delzangles having transferred from Jessica Harrington for whom he showed very good form when beating Parish Hall and going down a 1/2 L to Power in the National Stakes.

No, Christophe won’t be looking around again.

Aidan O’Brien has won this race three times in the last ten years. Furner’s Green attempts to add to the exploits of Landseer, Aussie Rules and Astronomer Royal. As juvenile he was fourth in the National Stakes beaten 2 L and on that he has a length and a half to find with Dragon Pulse. This year he returned with a good second to Jim Bolger’s progressive Light Heavy, who contests the Derrinstown Derby Trial at Leopardstown today, and then won the Leopardstown Guineas Trial from Akeed Wafi and Vault. He settled matters in a couple of strides and goes here as a prep for the French Derby. Vault will again set the pace. Incidentally, the fillies trial at the same venue was won by Homecoming Queen.

Coupe De Ville brings the English Guineas form here having run fifth to Camelot. He raced in the group on the far side and it’s possible his proximity to the winner may have been due to the ground being slightly better there than the near side. As a two year old he won the cash in the Tattersalls Millions Trophy.

Beauvoir was third beaten 1/4 L in the Prix La Force having previously run on the soft and on the sand at Deauville. Telwaar, the Free Handicap winner, looks held on his two year old form . He went down to Fencing who was then beaten by Camelot in the Racing Post and again in the Guineas.

John Gosden moves Gregorian out of handicap company having found soft ground to his liking at Newbury. He’s a colt on the up and John has a liking for taking French euro.

Does Dabirsim stay the mile in a truly run race? Will Furner’s Green continue the Ballydoyle classic domination? My Pulse says no and once again the Dragon will roar.