Tag Archives: Irish 2000 Guineas

Irish 2000 Guineas (G1)

The Irish Guineas has been lit up with the news that Too Darn Hot will come to the Curragh, beaten over 10F in the Dante at York, the petrol gauge running empty in the last furlong, John Gosden has decided to strike while the iron’s hot saying he came out of York so well and fresh he need’s to get another run into him.

Decrypt retuning on debut last year at the Curragh

Europe’s top-rated two-year-old who took all before him, culminating in a very impressive Dewhurst win will face Magna Grecia, an unsatisfactory 2000 Guineas winner at Newmarket who has 6 lbs to find with Too Darn Hot on official ratings despite a classic win.

Surely it’s a two horse race, so the market says, 5/4 about the English horse 6/4 about the Irish horse, 8/1 bar.

As a juvenile last October Magna Grecia took the Vertem Futurity beating Pheonix Of Spain whom we’ve not seen since, only a head separated them. Prior to that Charlie Hills colt was 1¾L behind Too Darn Hot in the Champagne Stakes at Doncaster in September. The issue for him is not only does he have to bridge the gap with the principles, he also has to do it in his first run of the season.

Skardu has 4¼L to find with Magna Grecia on his Newmarket third. The Craven winner was quietly fancied by connections going into the Guineas and didn’t disappoint in what was a messy race, they split into two groups. Magna Grecia stayed on the rail with another pair, Willie Haggas’s colt came up the middle with the main group, including Emaraaty Ana. He finished strongly to head Madhmoon to finish third. He must have felt like the winner. The fact that Magna Grecia and the second, King Of Change came from the rail trio suggests they was a definite advantage to the near side on the day, whether the advantage came from pace or track bias will only be told here.

Shelir crosses the road from Roswell House coming into the race not having had a juvenile campaign. His debut, a winning one at Navan in March was followed by a Tetrarch Stakes win here at the Curragh in April. He was professional about how he went about it and he will improve again. I Am Superman, favourite for the Tetrarch faded close home to finish fifth and he’ll also come on. Jim Bolger’s representative, Guaranteed goes more in hope than confidence, he won the Eyrefeild Stakes last season’s end.

Ballydoyle also sends the exposed Van Beethoven, the most experienced in the race, this being his twelfth run. He was at Longchamp two weeks ago for the Poulains finishing sixth to Persian King beaten 5L. He’s joined by stable companions Globe Theatre the pacesetter, and Mohawk who reverts back to a mile from 10F where he ran second in the Dee Stakes at Chester. Old Glory, an expensive yearling son of Frankel at €1.6m will have a lot to do given his best form was third in the Killavullan Stakes at Leopardstown last October.

Old Glory at Leopardstown last year

Decrypt, to change electronic information or signals that were stored, written, or sent in the form of a secret code may the message to interpret here. Paddy Twomey introduced him at this meeting last year where he ran second in a maiden. He returned to the Curragh two weeks later to win his maiden with Lady Kaya making her debut back in third. Hillwalker also debuting filled forth, he went on to win at Listed level at Gowan Park. Decrypt’s racecourse return was left to Cork this year where over 7F he was a very easy and impressive winner.

Of course he’s a mountain to climb, Too Darn Hot looked unbeatable last year but this year he’s been beaten, the drop in trip may well restore his shine. Magna Grecia might not have been flattered at Newmarket, he might just have outpaced them. If that’s the case, yes it’s a two horse race, and one hell of a cracker at that. However, if this has come too soon after York, a nine-day break for Too Darn Hot and the split in the Guineas field led to track bias then there is a message here to be deciphered.

Recommendation: Decrypt 20/1 ew

Follow the 2019 G1 Pattern Racing year in championship format by clicking on the links below.

PRWC 2019 Horse, PRWC 2019 Jockey, PRWC 2019 Trainer, PRWC 2019 Sire, PRWC 2019 Owner, PRWC 2019 Breeder

View last years championships here by clicking on the links below.

PRWC 2018 Horse, PRWC 2018 Jockey, PRWC 2018 Trainer, PRWC 2018 Sire, PRWC 2018 Owner, PRWC 2018 Breeder

Advertisements

The Irish 2000 Guineas (Group 1)

Lancaster Bomber at Leopardstown last August

An intriguing Irish 2000 Guineas where Churchill is nearly impossible to oppose.

As predicted he added to his stature by winning the English 2000 Guineas two weeks ago. The only surprise being before the race the handicapper had him rated 122 but the Newmarket run has been measured at 120.

The talk of Derby has filtered away and Aidan has chosen to keep him at a mile. Fear of him has meant only three trainers will take him on but it’s doubtful any really expect to beat him. Lancaster Bomber will once again accompany him to post as does his Sprit Of Valour who wasn’t able to provide the pace at Newmarket.

Mick Halford has had to throw his lightly raced Irishcorrespondent in at the deep end. He only came to Mick this year and what he’s shown them at home he’s repeated on the racecourse. He was a good winner of a maiden catching the eye with an impressive victory over a mile at Leopardstown in April and last Sunday he put in another impressive show when easily accounting for Homesman, a Ballydoyle inmate, who had previously won a maiden at Limerick. He really is a horse to like. He was able to do it easy both times putting distance between himself and the others in a matter of strides. How Mick would have loved another week between his races.

Thunder Snow is on a retrieval mission after his now infamous impression of a bucking bronco in the Kentucky Derby. Godolphin were optimistic heading into the race reckoning it was there best chance to lift the Run for the Roses. He’s something of a forgotten horse because of that run which is unfair as it’s most likely a slipped tack was the cause of the issue. He was a Group 1 winner as a juvenile when taking the Criterium International (G1) at Saint Cloud at the end of October then following up with two good runs at Meyden where he took the UAE Derby (G2). He’s something to find with Churchill on his Dewhurst run last year where he was 2 L inferior.

Glastonbury Song hails from Ger Lyons Glenburnie stable in Meath. His debut last September created some excitement with the manner in which he won it. Gliding across the surface his feet hardly touched the ground and one could imagine if he could repeat the same of turf he could be the stuff of dreams. That bubble burst in the 2000 Guineas Trial at Leopardstown when he could only manage a modest fifth. Ger brought him back to Dundalk for a confidence booster a month ago which he got again relishing the surface easily winning by 2 1/2 L.

Churchill retains his 122 rating even though the handicapper saw his Newmarket run as slightly inferior to what he did last year. This gives a glimmer of hope to the connections of the others but in reality it’s about who’ll chase Churchill home.

Will it be Lancaster Bomber whose done that already at G1 level in the Dewhurst Stakes (G1). Will it be Thunder Snow the only other G1 winner in the race. Could that potential shown by Irishcorrespondent be good enough or will Glastonbury Song create the dance we seen on Dundalk’s all weather on this good to firm turf?

Can your hear the festive roar.

Recommendation: 1,Churchill 2. Glastonbury Song (Forecast)

Glastonbury Song 50/1 e.w (small interest)

The Irish 2000 Guineas (Group 1)

The rain will have well got into the ground when post time arrives for Ireland’s first Group 1. Yielding to soft will make this a stamina test for these young milers.

Before the English equivalent the fear in the Kingman camp was that it would come up too firm at Newmarket. With no such fears here and at first glance looking at the opposition you would be forgiven for thinking the market has got it right to send John Gosden’s colt off a shade of odds on. The depth in behind measures little in comparison to Kingman’s reputation and now after the English Guineas that reputation has been enhanced.

A very unsatisfactory race may have produced three very good colts.

They split in two groups with Kingman delivering his challenge on the far side. He looked to be getting into top gear when driven towards the line only to find Night Of Thunder sluice past him who then drifted all the way across the track to nearly collide with the horse coming up the near side, the eventual third Australia. Had they raced together it might well have been different. The best horse won the race but in the prep the Greenham it was Kingman who hampered Night Of Thunder 4 1/2 Ls. Fourth across the line was Shifting Power stalemate of the winner whom Richard Hannon hopes can give him a two out of two in Guineas.

The home challenge is led by Mustajeeb for Dermot Weld and Pat Smullen. He took on the older horses in the Amethyst Stakes beating Brendan Bracken rated 112 easily by 2 1/2 Ls. Dermot had no hesitation in nominating this as his next target. Big Time from the John Joe Murphy yard had three runs as a juvenile winning first time out beating Fountain Of Youth and then going down a 1/2 L to Surdiman in the Railway Stakes and the Phoenix Stakes where he had War Command back in third. Ger Lyons sends Obliterator for Qatar Racing. He only had the one run last year winning at the Curragh and one this year when beaten 7 L s by True Story in the Feilden Stakes at Newmarket. He looked to have found the pace of the race at Newmarket a little on the quick side and the mile trip here might prove a touch too sharp.

Aidan O’Brien is mob handed with five running.

War Command was strongly fancied at Newmarket but didn’t feature doing no better than 9th when running in the group on the near side. A very talented two year old and winner of the Dewhurst Stakes winner he should not be discounted from doing a Power who bounced back from a 37 L last at Newmarket to win at the Curragh two years ago.

Seamus Heffernan gets the leg up on Great White Eagle suggesting he’s the second string while the booking’s of Micheal Hussey on Johann Strauss, Colm O’Donoghue on Michaelmas and Fran Berry on Fountain Of Youth suggest pace making roles.

Surely not in the case of the Johann Strauss who is a horse who could benefit hugely from the confidence booster he recieved from winning at Dundalk recently. He ran second in the Racing Post Trophy on soft last year looking like a colt of the future. He was unlucky running second first time out at Leopardstown this year and then didn’t feature when sent to Newmarket for the Tattersalls Millions Three Year Old Trophy. The Dundalk win may sharpen the attitude.

It was at Tattersalls Book 1 Sale in 2012 when Pattern Racing.com spent a million sterling on 5 horses (albeit fictitiously) with the express aim on winning a classic in 2014. Our first horse goes to post today. Purchased for £110 grand Johann Strauss will get all our money back and then some even if’s it’s only got the same value as the monopoly type.

Where’s the dance floor?

Recommendation : Johann Strauss 40/1 ew