Aidan O’Brien has won 4 of the last 7 running of the Chester Vase with Ruler Of The World (2012), Treasure Beach (2011), Golden Sword (2009) and Soldier Of Fortune (2007).
It’s proven a very good trial for him considering Ruler Of The World conquered at Epsom and the Curragh. Treasure Beach was 2nd at Epsom and won at the Curragh. Golden Sword 5th at Epsom and was 2nd at the Curragh while Soldier Of Fortune also 5th at Epsom won at the Curragh.
One Epsom Derby plus a runner up and three Irish Derby’s plus a runner up. Fair to say Ballydoyle sees the value of the Chester Vase as a derby trial.
This year he sends Orchestra and Carlo Bugatti. The pair are twice raced both winning once.
Orchestra was second first time out beaten 6 1/4 L by Free Eagle who would surely have been prominent in the Epsom market had injury not sidelined him. He then recorded a facile victory two weeks later in a Tipperary maiden.
Carlo Bugatti was an easy winner first time out last year at Galway and came back in the Ballysax where he was a 3 1/2L fourth to Fascinating Rock, a 16/1 shot for Epsom. He probably, as most of Aidan’s do, needed the run.
There is a line of form between the two colts. Orchestra beat Bogardus 2 3/4 L when winning his maiden on his second run. Bogardus next time out was 7 1/4 L behind Carlo Bugatti in his first run.
That along with the fitness edge gives the latter the nod.
The others will all require a step on what they have done previously to capture this though should Sir Michael Stoute win with Festival Theatre it will evoke special memories having won it with Shergar in 1981.
Recommendation : Carlo Bugatti 7/2 win
Interesting Group 3 at Lingfield today.
The form is represented by the French filly Kendam who was third to Gordon Lord Byron in last years G1 Prix De Floret on Arc weekend. She came form off the pace that day to run on well to the line on the autumnal surface that Lonchamp usually provides in October. Twice out this year she was last probably needing the run on the first occasion then second next time suggesting she has trained on.
Sir Michael Stoute’s Ultrasonic has been a consistent type racking up 3 consecutive seconds in Listed company. This is her first run this year and you would worry about the her ability to get her head in front especially first time out.
There’s no concern about the fitness of the Irish filly. She looks the one to overcome. Ger Lyons sends Lily’s Angel back to England having won at Listed level over the all weather Kempton surface a month ago. She seen as a bit of an all weather specialist having also won at Dundalk and Meyden however she had no problem with a good turf surface at Leopardstown last September and she look’s to be a filly on the up.
Recommendation : Lily’s Angel 7/2 win
The Albany Stakes (G3) is a tough start with 18 inexperienced fillies to sort out. With the ground already on the soft side and more showers forecast then one’s who have some form on the soft will be the best option. Narrowing it down is difficult but those with soft ground experience include Newfangled, Tassel, Equitania, Premier Steps, Judy In Disguise and the Irish filly Sendmylovetorose.
Newfangled won a maiden at Newmarket by 4 1/2 L over 6 f and will go off favourite as a result. Tassel won over 5 f first time out and then was last over the same distance. She pulled up lame in that last race, won by Judy In Disguise, and is a player stepping up in trip who should turn around the form. Premier Steps beat Equitania here over 5 f but Richard Hannon’s filly is expected to turn the tables also. Andrew Oliver expressed surprise the way his filly Sendmylovetorose won a Navan maiden saying he thought she needed the run. She beat Strapless 5 1/2 L over 6 f on the soft and the trainers confidence in her will have grown when Strapless then went on to be third to two his in a Sligo maiden. The second horse had also gone in the Navan race running fourth which will further encourage the trainers belief that there is more to come from Sendmylovetorose .
Recommendation – Sendmylovetorose 16/1 e/w
There is a small field for the King Edward VII Stakes (G2) affectionately known as the Ascot Derby. Astrology heads the market after a fine third at Epsom behind Camelot. It could well have been second had he not tired close home having set a strong pace for his stablemate. He previously had shown he could handle give when winning the Dee Stakes at the Chester May meeting. He well deserves his position at the top of the market and he’s the one to beat.
Noble Mission doesn’t have the ability of his full brother Frankel, no horse does, however he is a good colt capable of carving out his own career. Rather than rush things going to the Derby a patient build up has been planned and we see him here after a second beaten a neck by Trust Worthy in a listed event at headquarters in May. Trust Worthy went on to Epsom to take fourth 11 L behind Camelot and 6 L behind Astrology.
Shantaram is an interesting runner, beaten a nose in both his first two runs he then went on to be second again going down 3/4 L to Main Sequence ( 2Nd in the Derby) before finally winning his maiden. John Gosden won this last year with Nathaniel so knows what it takes to win this. This isn’t such a step up considering the second to Main Sequence. Thomas Chippendale is obviously highly regarded stepping from handicap company to this level. Sir Henry Cecil hasn’t sent him here as a pacemaker though it’s more likely his learning curve will continue without troubling the judge. Farhaan hasn’t lived up to the expectations that led to him being sent off favourite for last years Royal Lodge although his comeback run will have pleased where he was a 1 1/4 L off Trust Worthy in the Newmarket Race.
Astrology is the classiest horse here but the Derby was a hard run for him. This might just then fall to the fresher Gosden horse who hasn’t much to make up on a line through Main Sequence.
Recommendation – Shantaram 8/1 win
The second day begins with the Jersey Stakes ( G3). A difficult one to work out being restricted to three year olds with 25 runners standing their ground. The official ratings give it to Reply off a mark of 113 on the back of a good third to Power in the Irish Guineas. The form took a knock today in the Saint James Palace but Power was badly hampered so treat the loss with caution. Red Duke was third in the German Guineas to Casper Nechtar and that from must be respected. There are also a couple of unbeaten ones in here headed by Sentaril from the Willie Haggas yard which are unexposed and could be anything. The one that catches the eye is the Aidan O’Brien second string Ishvana. She surprised when second to Samitar in the Irish One Thousand Guineas and looks a filly on the improve. These well bred Ballydoyle fillies, she’s a daughter of Holy Roman Emperor, can often come good. Think Homecoming Queen and once they show improvement they can go on. Incidentally, the fillies ran a quicker time at the Curragh than the colts did and she’s in receipt of 3 lbs from the colts.
In the Windsor Forest (G2) we only have to contend with 13 in the field. The two to top the market are Emulous from the Dermot Weld stable and Nahrain from the Rodger Varian stable. These are two very good fillies, both Group 1 winners, Emulous took the Matron Stakes and Nahrain bagged the Prix De D’Opera before a second in the Breeders Cup Fillies and Mares Turf. The difference between the two could be the edge of fitness the Weld filly possesses having won impressively from One Spirit on her comeback run at the Curragh. The form was subsequently franked when One Spirit went on to win a listed contest at Naas.
The Prince Of Wales (G1) is the centrepiece of the days action. So You Think never quite caught the imagination of the public in the northern hemisphere in the way that he did in Australia. It’s a bit unfair as he’s won four Group 1’s in his time here providing some level of excitement. The high’s being when beaten here by the ill fated Rewilding in this race last year and the subsequent defeat of Workforce in the Eclipse. The field doesn’t offer anything of this quality with only Planteur, Reliable Man and Wigmore Hall being single Group 1 winners. The intrigue may come from the Godolphin colt Farhh having only his fourth run, he won at two, at three and when reintroduced as a four year old and is most certainly highly thought of by connections. However, So You Think remains the class act and for that reason he is not to be opposed.
The last Pattern race of the day is the Queen Mary (G2). It’s even more difficult than the opening Jersey with 27 two year old fillies going to post. Not a lot to go on but if you were inclined to take on the field then David Wachman’s Mironica makes some appeal based on the form of the yard especially regarding his fillies.
Jersey Stakes – Ishvana 16/1 EW
Windsor Forrest Stakes – Emulous 3/1 Win
Prince Of Wales Stake – So You Think 1/1 Win
Queen Mary Stakes – Mironica 6/1 Win
Posted in England, Group 1, Group 2, Group 3, Pattern Racing
Tagged Aidan O'Brien, Ballydoyle, Dermot Weld, Group 2, Group 3, Group1, Horseracing, Jersey Stakes, Pattern Racing, Prince Of Wales Stakes, Queen Mary Stakes, Roger Varian, Royal Ascot, So You Think, Windsor Forest Stakes