The Pentagon on his way out to win the Tyros Stakes in July
Six weeks ago we said it couldn’t be done. There we are, talk about getting it spectacularly wrong. Tomorrow if Aidan O’Brien wins this race he will break Bobby Frankel’s world record of 25 G 1’s established in 2003. We no strangers to his genius. His greatness was hinted at last year ( just have a look at distance he won the PRWC 2016) but this year he’s really put himself in a league of his own.
He saddles four here with Ryan Moore siding with Saxon Warrior after his impressive win at Naas in the Beresford Stakes from another Ballydoyle inmate Delano Roosevelt. The latter was a surprise winner of a maiden in July when returned at 14/1 when winning first time out, a rarity for an O’Brien two year old. He beat Coat Of Arms who appears here in possibly a pacemaking role, possibly not. On collateral form Coat Of Arms has only 2 L to find on Saxon Warrior.
The winner of the Tyros Stakes on the same night in July was The Pentagon. He was a very short price favourite returning 4/11F. That was his third run. First time out when needing the run he was nearly 20 L behind Verbal Dexterity, Jim Bolger’s main hope here. He then went on to win a maiden by 8 L. In The Tyros he had a comfortable 1 3/4 L to spare over Theobald, Jim Bolger’s other runner here. We haven’t seen him since and his fitness is taken on trust.
Seahenge returns to Doncaster, scene of his finest hour where he was given a canny ride by Donnacha O’Brien to come through the pack and win the Champagne Stakes over 7 F. Since he’d a difficult passage in the Dewhurst where he was bumped at the start and became unbalanced entering the dip but stayed on well to clinch third. The step up in trip here will suit.
The best form in the race comes courtesy of Verbal Dexterity. He’s already a G1 winner when taking the National Stakes at the Curragh from Beckford. He found plenty when asked the question and pulled away powerfully to win easily in the end. There was an awful to like about it.
Roaring Loin heads the home team for John Gosden. He’s unbeaten in three runs. He took the scalp of the Ballydoyle inmate Nelson (who’ll go to France on Sunday) a neck in the Royal Lodge last time out. He’s improving with every run.
Martyn Meade will hope his charge Chilean is as good Eminent. Two wins from three runs suggests he could be while the unknown quantity in the race is the Charlie Appleby trained Loxley. He dead heated for first on his only racecourse appearance with Istanbul Sultan who previously had run second to Sir Michael Stoute’s Gabr who makes the line up here.
It could be Aidan’s day. It’s a strong team he is sending, all four are capable especially the front two who now head the market for the Derby next year. They’ll surely come out of the race with their reputations enhanced if both are placed behind Verbal Dexterity. He’ll go winter favourite for the 2000 Guineas when he win’s this. He’s should be backed to win both.
Recommendation: Verbal Dexterity 4/1 win
Ante post: 2000 Guineas 2018 Verbal Dexterity 12/1 win
Peace Envoy at Naas before the Tetrarch Stakes
Peace Envoy is a big price today at Doncaster for the Park Stakes over 7f.
He’s a three-year old running against older horses, something he did for the first time in the Minstrel Stakes last time out at the Curragh in July over this trip.
On that occasion like today he had Seamie Heffernan on his back. He raced at the back of the field and Seamie quietly brought up the inner. At the two furlong pole he was tracking the subsequent winner his stable companion Spirit Of Valour who also runs today. When they quickened he was slightly caught for toe and the gap in front of him closed. Within a couple of strides his chance was gone and Seamie had no choice but to pull him up for fear he would come down. Chance gone.
As a juvenile he’d had a few very good run’s beating King Electric on debut, probably Ger Lyons best three-year old this year, and running second in the Railway Stakes to another Ger Lyons inmate Medicine Jack.
This year as a three-year old he made his comeback on bank holiday Monday at Naas in the Tetrarch Stakes with Ryan Moore in the plate. He got no run when boxed in on the rail. He then went to the French Guineas where he got no luck in running with Ryan unable to get a gap having to switch him a number of times but to no avail.
Next time out in the St James’s Palace Stakes over a mile again he wore headgear. He was lit up from the gate carrying his head awkwardly refusing to settle and his race was over by halfway.
Clearly he’s considered highly at home bearing in mind where they’ve sent him and he’s one that Seamie has been sweet on. He’s no doubt got an engine and this trip of seven furlongs might just be his optimum.
If he settles today and gets a clean run, at 28/1 he’s worth backing.
Recommendation: Peace Envoy 28/1 ew
How quickly the season comes to an end.
The last Group 1 in England sees us already looking forward to next year and thinking about spring and summer classics. Something to ponder over the long nights ahead. Tomorrow’s winner will no doubt feature high in the Guineas and Derby betting next year.
After declarations 11 were left in. Unfortunately Toormore isn’t one of them as Richard Hannon has decided not to run him on the forecast rain softened ground reckoning it will blunt his speed. He relies on Chief Barker instead who will make his fourth appearance on the racecourse having kept a 100 % win ratio thus far. All three runs were over the mile and last time out in a Listed race at Haydock he put in his best performance beating Chriselliam a neck. She went on to surprise in the G1 Fillies Mile winning at 28/1.
Charlie Appleby has made a fine start as the new Godolphin trainer and sends out Pinzolo. He’s also unbeaten in two outings both over a mile and the horses in second both won next time out.
Roger Varian’s Kingston Hill is also unbeaten in two runs. A maiden over 7 f was followed up with a Group 3 win where he had Aidan O’Brien’s Oklahoma City back in second.
Sir Michael Stoute runs Snow Sky a progressive type who was third first time out fourth next time and then won 11 L last time out. They were all in maidens so a big step up needed to win here.
Somewhat is the most experienced in the field having had five runs two of them in Group 2 company where on both occasions he found one too good. In the Superlative Stakes Good Old Boy Lukey beat him a head and in the Royal Lodge he went down a neck to Berkshire. Decent form.
The Grey Gatsby also brings a decent level of form. A maiden winner first time out he stepped into Group company running second at G3 level and then repeating the feat at G2 level behind Godolphin’s Outstrip in the Champange Stakes. That form was not given the boost hoped in last weeks Dewhurst when Outstrip could only manage third to War Command.
The Irish are made of a threesome from Ballydoyle, one from the Johnny Murtagh yard and one from Pat Shananhan who can be ruled out.
Altruistic won his maiden and ran third to Geoffrey Chaucer and Oklahoma City in the G2 Beresford at Curragh. On the book this puts him behind Kingston Hill.
The form might well have given Aidan O’Brein encouragement to run his three having a line through to the English opposition. Joseph O’Brien will ride the once raced Century who was an easy winner at the Curragh two weeks ago. Clearly talented, he could be anything. Buonarroti stepped up on a fourth first time out to win by 8 1/2 L next time at Tipperary but is likely to set the pace here.
The other O’Brien colt is Johann Strauss a son of the 2001 winner and subsequent Derby winner High Chaparral. He’s run twice, first in a Newmarket maiden where Joseph gave him the tenderest of rides and last week at Naas where over 7 f where he couldn’t collar Sniper when a 1/3 shot. That doesn’t sound great but he travelled well and those educational rides may well pay tomorrow and also at Epsom next June.
Recommendation : Johann Strauss 12/1 ew Racing Post Trophy
Ante Post Johann Strauss 50/1 ew Epsom Derby 2014
E/W Double on both races
Posted in England, Group 1, Pattern Racing, Uncategorized
Tagged Aidan O'Brien, Ballydoyle, Coolmore, Doncaster, Epsom Derby, Group 1, Horseracing, Pattern Racing, Racing Post Trophy, Ragskyra