Lancaster Bomber on his way out to win his maiden at Leopardstown in August
This is the tenth running of the Juvenile Turf and Aidan O’Brien will attempt to win it for the fourth time with Lancaster Bomber and Intelligence Cross representing Ballydoyle. Ryan Moore has chosen the latter leaving Seamie Heffernan to get the leg up on Lancaster Bomber.
Intelligence Cross is the higher profile of the two and will line up to face the starter for the seventh time. All his runs to date have been over 6 f and he’s troubled the judge twice so far winning a maiden at the Curragh and returning thereafter to take the G3 Round Tower Stakes. In between he was stepped into G2 company where he ran second in the July Stakes at Newmarket to Mehmas and then third to the same colt in the Richmond Stakes at Goodwood. The fact that he ran in those two tells you he was held in high regard at home. He returned to Newmarket for his last run where he was again stepped up in class for the G1 Middle Park Stakes. He ran well to be fourth getting closer to Mehmas beaten a 1/2 L, with The Last Loin winning from Godolphin’s Blue Point in second.
Blue Point then contested Europe’s most important juvenile race the Dewhurst at Newmarket over 7 f. He ran third behind Churchill and the 66/1 shot, Lancaster Bomber. Going off at that price the expectation was Lancaster Bomber was there to set the fractions for his illustrious stablemate. He had been asked to play the same role in the Futurity for Churchill at the Curragh in August but wasn’t able to do so. He hung that day never acting on the yielding to soft ground falling away to finish last of four.
In the Dewhurst the price suggested a repeat the dose tactic for Lancaster Bomber, he was there to do a job for his illustrious stablemate Churchill. The expectation was he’d wind it up before folding in the final two furlongs. Once he hit the rising ground coming out of Newmarket’s famous dip he didn’t fold, he rallied and battled all the way to line only to give way to Churchill’s turn of foot.
It was the ground and step up in trip that was the key and it’s a crucial piece of form as it puts him ahead of his stablemate through the Mehmas line of form.
The further step up in trip here to a mile will certainly suit Lancaster Bomber. He has a high cruising speed and will have time to hit top gear. He’ll act on the fast surface as he did in his maiden win at Leopardstown and also in the Dewhurst. He’ll relish the chance to blow them away.
No harm doing the forecast either as Aidan O’Brien has made a bit of a habit of getting that up lately in G1 company.
Recommendation: Lancaster Bomber 8/1 win
Lancaster Bomber and Intelligence Cross RFC
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Not quite a match but it really should be.
American Pharoah and Gleneagles have been stand out three-year olds in America and Europe this year.
Their meeting here in the biggest race of the year hasn’t caught the public imagination. Bored with the will he won’t he run, the public has lost faith in Gleneagles especially after being beaten at Ascot in the QE11. Bubble burst.
In the States the opposite has happened. American Phar Continue reading
The Fugue on Irish Champions Stakes Day. Photo Pattern Racing.com
A bumper day of Grade 1 action with 9 top level races in Santa Anita on day 2 of the Breeders Cup 2013.
European horses struck gold in 3 out of the 5 on day 1 and come into the day 2 with some real big guns. Again there’s not a lot of depth to the challenge with only 7 European runners.
Sir Michael Stoute’s Dank will go off favourite in the Fillies and Mares Turf over 10f with with Romantica from the Andre Fabre team priced up second favourite. The Stoute filly has already won in America when last time out she took the Beverely D Stakes on Arlington Million day. The Fabre filly won the Prix Jean Romanet at Deauville in August before running 12 L behind Treve in the Arc. Opposing are the ex Irish trained Laughing and the ex French trained Alterite. Laughing certainly benefited from the move to the States having won her last 4 including 2 G1’s The Diana Stakes and last time out the Flower Bowl Invitational where she beat Tannery who then franked that form taking the G1 EP Taylor Stakes at Woodbine.
In the Turf over 12 f The Fugue has very strong claims proving herself top drawer this summer taking the Yorkshire Oaks against her own sex and then following up in the Irish Champion Stakes beating the colts Al Kazeem and Trading Leather. She’s joined by the Irish Guineas winner Magician who rattled home on firm at the Curragh. Last years first and second are back Little Mike and Point Of Entry. The former looked to have lost his way a little but bounced back to form in the Joe Hirch Invitation while the latter has only run twice since. Both were winning Grade 1 performances. In February he beat Animal Kingdom in the Gulfstream Park Handicap and in June he won the Woodford Reserve at Belmont. This has been his target all year.
In the mile Aidan O’Brien runs Cristoforo Colombo who would look to be up against it and Richard Hannon runs Olympic Glory who must have an outstanding chance if he can handle the ground. He put in a great performance when just touched off by Moonlight Cloud in the Jacques Le Marois and capped that on champions day winning the Queen Elizabeth 11 Stakes on soft ground. Wise Dan is probably the most consistent turf horse in training at the moment. Since winning this last year he’s added 5 G1’s since but was surprisingly beaten by Silver Max in the Shadwell Turf Mile at Keenland at the beginning of October.
The most consistent dirt horse is Game On Dude who will go off favourite in the Classic the finale event. He held the same status this time last year when beaten by Fort Larned but has run and won six times since with the highlight being the Big Cap here at Santa Anita when he simply looked awesome. Two European challengers come into the field with Ballydoyle sending Declaration Of War and Marco Botti sending Planteur. The Coolmore bound Declaration Of War has not been seen since winning the International at York in August. This will be his last run and it was revealed he went to work on Southwell’s fibre sand to get some experience of the kickback he’ll have to cope with here. He worked with two G1 winners sitting in behind before readily pulling clear. The manner of the workout was enough to convince Aidan O’Brien that this was his best chance of capturing the classic since Giant’s Causeway who was so narrowly touched off by Tisnow in 2000. If he can handle the dirt he has the class to beat Game On Dude.
Fillies and Mares Turf Laughing PMU Price win and place
Breeders Cup Turf : Point Of Entry 5/1 Win
Breeders Cup Mile : Wise Dan 1/1 Win
Breeders Cup Classic : Declaration OF War PMU Price win and place
Posted in Grade 1, Horseracing, Pattern Racing, USA
Tagged Aidan O'Brien, Andre Fabre, Ballydoyle, Breeders Cup, Classic, Declaration Of War, Horseracing, Pattern Racing, Ragskyra, Sa, Santa Anita, The Fugue, Uncategorized
Say on her way out to run in the Matron Stakes at Leopardstown recentely
Aidan O’Brien sends the three year old Say to see if she can build on her third place in the G 1 Matron Stakes at Leopardstown last month where she only went down 1/2 L to La Collina and Lily’s Angel. Joe Bravo has been booked to ride.
Say has only won twice in eleven starts but has in defeat put in some very good performances. Prior to the Matron she beat Aloof in the G3 Dance Design, was second beaten a neck at York by Obsession in the Galtres Stakes and also ran a cracker to be second to Dank in the G2 Kilboy Estate Stakes at the Curragh. Dank went to Arlington to impressively win the G1 Beverley D Stakes.
She’s accompanied on the trip by Amazonas from the Ed Dunlop yard who made a belated seasonal debut when winning a listed contest at Haydock in August. She finished her two year old season with a third in the Fillies Mile at Ascot.
The home team is led by Dayatthesepa who is a Grade 1 winner having taken the Queen Elizabeth 11 Challenge Stakes here last October. She prepped for this with a stakes win at Saratoga in August.
Another interesting home contender is Better Lucky who was second to Stephanie’s Kitten in the G1 Just A Game in June but didn’t build on that next time out at Group 3 level when only third.
The Ballydoyle team will probably have one eye on the Breeders Cup with Say. The European challenge is a timely reminder of the looming Breeders Cup and this contest will give us some indication of how the European fillies stand against their American counterparts.
In the meantime we’ll have to Say yes.
Recommendation : Say 7/2 win
Posted in Grade 1, Ireland, Pattern Racing, Uncategorized, USA
Tagged Aidan O'Brien, Ballydoyle, Breeders Cup, Coolmore, Ed Dunlop, European, Group 1, Keenland