Tag Archives: Breeder Cup

Breeder Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1)

Recommendation:

Happily 4/1 win

Happily & September, Reverse Forecast

Happily going out to win the Silver Flash Stakes at Leopardstown. 27th July 2017

The first race in the Breeders Cup series presents one of the best chances for the Europeans to score.

There’s a strong in depth team led by Aidan O’Brien’s Happily and her stablemate September. Aidan’s son Joseph sends Now Your Talking and Fossy Stack will be hoping his 2nd reserve Goodthingstaketime will get in if two come out. The English team is led by John Gosden’s Lady Capulet and Roger Varian is sending Madeline.

The Ballydoyle pair are led by Happily who took the G1 Moyglare Stakes over seven furlongs (September back in third) , Ireland’s leading juvenile fillies race. She then went to France and contested the G1 Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere on Arc day, France’s leading two-year old race, where she beat the colts over a mile. September followed up the Moyglare third going to Ascot for the G1 Fillies Mile where she was denied a nose by Laurens.

Juliet Capulet owned by Cheveley Park Stud won the Rockfel Stakes, a G2 at Newmarket over seven furlongs while Madeline ran third to Clemmie over six furlongs in the G1 Cheveley Park Stakes also at Newmarket with Now Your Talking a head back in fourth. If Clemmie were here she’d start favourite for this.

The American fillies can’t boast anything like the form of the Europeans at G1 level because the pattern racing programme doesn’t cater for two year old fillies on turf until this event. That doesn’t mean they can’t compete. Chad Brown’s pair Rushing Fall winner of the G3 Jessamaine Stakes over this trip and Significant Fall who beat Best Performance in the G3 Miss Grillo Stakes can’t be dismissed. In Canada Capala Princess did win the Natalama Stakes upgraded to G1 status this year where she beat Dixie Moon.

The Europeans will have the edge in experience at the level required however what will be new to all of them will be the tight turns and short straight common to American tracks. It’s more particular pronounced at Del Mar where the straight measures just 919 feet. They will also have to cope with a firm track something they won’t have come across either before.

There’s little between the Ballydoyle pair and they are both a cut above the rest.

In early summer when September won the Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot she would have been ahead of Happily in the pecking order. Since Happily has had her behind on the two occasions they met, in the Moyglare and earlier in the Debutante Stakes.

The draw is a big issue here and wide is not where you want to be. Happily will break from gate two with September in ten. Happily’s win in France against the colts was very impressive, she had Godolphin’s Masar 1 1/2 L back in third who runs later tonight in the Juvenile Turf Mile. September also beat him 2  1/4 L in the Chesham and the line just came too soon for her in the Fillies Mile last time out.

Marginal preference is for Happily on account of the draw. If they can handle the turns (and the ground) then they can fill the first two spots.

Advertisements

Breeders Cup Turf (G1)

Found

Found on her way out to contest the Irish Champions Stakes

Found is one of those rare things in flat racing, a mare the public have fallen in love with. It’s what she gives that his created this, her all.  She’s been second eleven times in her life but each time she tried her heart out. Her last three run’s have been the best of her life. At Leopardstown over 10f, short of her best trip she was the only one who could give Almanzor a run for his money. In the Arc over 12f her best distance, none could live with her and again at Ascot in the Champion Stakes she only went down to Almanzor’s wonderful turn of foot. No wonder the public love her so much. She’s here to defend her crown against another quality field.

Highland Reel leave the ring at Leopardstown for the Irish Champion Stakes

Highland Reel leave the ring at Leopardstown for the Irish Champion Stakes

Her stablemate Highland Reel presents the biggest threat. He comes here a little fresher. He was given a break since the Arc where he chased home Found and did not return to Ascot for Champions Day, the scene of his greatest triumph when he took the King George there in the summer.

They both will love the trip and ground and will produce an epic battle coming down the stretch. It will be one of head and heart with the heart to come out on top.

Recommendation : Found 3/1 win

                                         Found and Highland Reel RFC 

 

The Breeders Cup (Grade 1) Day 1

Day 1 of the much anticipated Breeders Cup meeting has 5 races with 1 Grade 2 and four Grade 1’s.

European runners are thin on the ground only featuring in the two turf contests, the Juvenile Turf for Colts and Geldings and the The Juvenile Fillies Turf. No runners in the Marathon, Dirt Mile or the feature event the Distaff for Fillies and Mares. It’s not surprising as their all on Dirt a surface the Europeans have no experience of and generally are not bred for.

The Turf will be quick with a prediction of Firm in the going description and even though the summer and ground were good in Europe its unlikely they’ll have experienced anything quite as fast as this surface will be. In the Colts race Aidan O’Brien runs two, Giovanni Boldini (Ryan Moore) and Wilshire Boulevard (William Buick) while Charlie Appleby relies on Outstrip (Mike Smith) for Godolphin and Richard Hannon runs Shamshon for the Al Thani operation. Of the O’Brien pair bookings suggest Ryan Moore (who would have had first call) opted for Giovanni Boldini therefore giving him preference but the more experienced of the pair is Wilshire Boulevard and his form has a slight edge on his stable companion through his beating of Oklahoma City on a good to firm surface at the Curragh in the Anglesey Stakes.  Outstrip didn’t build on the Champagne victory when running one paced in the Dewhurst to be third while Shamshon is certainly stepping up on a mere fifth in the Mill Reef.

Of the home team Bobby´s Kitten stands out as a 6 1/2 L winner of the Pilgrim Stakes but at bigger prices Wayne Catalano’s  Poker Player who beat Bashart from the Todd Pletcher stable a length in the Bourbon Stakes at Keenland provides a decent each way opportunity.

In the Fillies race the French trained Vorda will be all the rage after taking the G1 Cheveley Park last time out but the G1 Fillies Mile winner Chriselliam and Al Thakhira the Rockfel winner will also vie for favouritism on European bookmakers lists. My Conquestadory leads the home team and shouldn’t be underestimated having won the G1 Alcibiades Stakes at Keenland.

In the Dirt mile Verrazano and Goldencents should battle it out with preference for the former.

The Distaff is a cracking contest with a small but select field. Royal Delta will try to defend her crown with against the three year olds Princess Of SylmarBeholder and Close Hatches. The Princess may lift the crown.

Recommendations : Juvenile Turf Poker Player  12/1 EW

Dirt Mile Verrazano 3/1 WIN 

Juvenile Fillies Turf Vorda 4/1 WIN

Distaff Princess Of Sylmar 3/1 WIN