Monthly Archives: November 2018

The Melbourne Cup (G1)

Yucatan at Leopardstown in August

Aidan O”Brien’s Yucatan will go off favourite for the Melbourne Cup 2018.

His last run in Ireland was on a summers evening in August where he ran third in a tight finish for second headed by Eziyra and Stellar Mass close home.

He went down under to contest the G2 Herbert Power Stakes winning it as easily as he liked in what only can be described as a caught the eye performance, coming from nearly last to first, cruising past the opposition he won eased down. He was a revelation compared to the form shown at home, the authority the Australian public saw that day was never displayed in Ireland. 

Maybe it’s the trip that has brought out the best in him, he might be loving the holidays, or possibly the form of the G2 Herbert Power is questionable, questionable compared to European form that is. Aidan O’Brien has improved horses beyond recognition many times before however in the Ballydoyle pecking order Yucatan would have been considered third ranked of their trio on what he’d achieved in Europe. 

Cliffs Of Moher in the ring at The Curragh before The Tattersalls Gold Cup in May

Cliffsofmoher will be partnered by Ryan Moore who travels from Kentucky, overall he’s a a very decent colt who’s possibly just a tad under high quality. His best run remains the 2017 Epsom Derby where he ran second but his Caulfield Cup run was encouraging.

Rostropovich at Leopardstown in September

Rostropovich will be partnered by Wayne Lordan who also makes the trip from Kentucky. His best run was second in this years Irish Derby. As a three year old he’s the beneficiary of the weight allowance as is Godolphin’s Cross Counter and both are in the mix as a result.

The key to this Melbourne Cup may well have been found in the closing race of the Irish flat season, the Listed Finale Stakes at Naas on Sunday. It was won in the style Yucatan displayed to the Aussie audience by Ger Lyons Mustajeer by a very easy 7L, he pulverised them. 

His previous run was the Ebor at York in August which with a £500,000 pot now requires a G1 horse to win it. Mustajeer was outpaced but ran on really well to get up up be fourth. The winner of the Ebor was John Gosden’s Muntahaa who comes here fresh having not run since. Jim Crowley who travelled a week early to be here is in the plate. He was very impressive at York, well as Mustajeer ran he was never going to beat the winner.

The market is shaped by the Herbert Park form and that is a concern, Yucatan would not have won the Ebor, that form looks much more solid. 

Recommendation: Muntahaa  10/1 win, Rostropovich 20/1 ew

You can follow the story of the G1 Pattern Race year by clicking on the links below. There you’ll find how the 299 G1’s already run this year have panned out in championship format.

The Pattern Racing World Championships 2018

PRWC 2018 Horse, PRWC 2018 Jockey, PRWC 2018 Trainer, PRWC 2018 Sire, PRWC 2018 Owner, PRWC 2018 Breeder

 

 

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The Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf (G1) and The Breeder’s Cup Classic (G1)

Eryiza returns after winning the Ballyraon Stakes at Leopardstown

Dermot Weld’s Eryiza has a great opportunity to capture a first G1 win here at Churchill Downs. Last time out she was a winner of the G2 Blandford Stakes over a mile and two furlongs at the Curragh. Her previous run to that was at G1 level when she ran a fine third to Sea Of Class and Cornet in the Yorkshire Oaks, a run that now looks very good considering Sea Of Class’s fine second to Enable in the Arc and Cornet’s fine second to Magical in the British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes. 

Roaring Loin before winning The Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstwon.

In the Breeders Cup Classic the best colt in Europe will try to do something very special. He’s been on the go since April and has won the Dante at York, ran second in the Derby, won the Eplicse at Sandown, The International at York, the Irish Championship Stakes at Leopardstown and the Queen Elizebeth Stakes at Ascot., the latter over a mile having proved himself over 10f before that.

The big question, Can he handle the dirt?

It’s going to be very tough, his run style means he’ll have to come form off the pace, so he’ll get to eat a lot of it. This doesn’t mean he won’t like it, the surface that is, it’s just he’s never encountered it before and with no experience of it Mendelssohn may be a better alternative.

He’s been prepared for this with a dirt campaign beginning with a 18 L win in the UAE Derby at Meyden and he then came here for the Run For The Roses. Ok the run in the Kentucky Derby was awful, at least he won’t encounter the sloppy track that we had in May again tonight.

Aidan O’Brien gave him a two month break and brought him back for a confidence building third in the Dwyer Stakes before stepping back into G1 company where he ran second to Catholic Boy in the Travers Stakes and third in the Jockey Club Gold Cup Stakes to Discreet Lover and Thunder Snow.

Recommendation: Eryiza 8/1 win

                                  Mendelssohn 9/1 win

The Pattern Racing World Championships 2018

You can follow the story of the G1 Pattern Race year by clicking on the links below. There you’ll find how the 299 G1’s already run this year have panned out in championship format.

PRWC 2018 Horse, PRWC 2018 Jockey, PRWC 2018 Trainer, PRWC 2018 Sire, PRWC 2018 Owner, PRWC 2018 Breeder