Tattersalls Irish 1,000 Guineas (Group 1)

Happily 27th July 2017 at Leopardstown

We recommended Romanised to win the Irish 2000 Guineas yesterday. Today we access the fillies version.

Happily will start a short price 6/4F to give Aidan O’Brien a third G1 of the season.

She went off favourite for the Newmarket equivalent two weeks ago coming home in third. Her best work was coming towards the end of the race, she looked in trouble entering the dip but she came of it well but she couldn’t get there. Like many of Aidan’s she’ll improve for the run. Godolphin’s Solioquy was a length behind her.

Her juvenile form now looks very good, a winner twice at top-level she took The Moyglare Stud Stakes where she beat her more fancied stable companion Magical and she then went on to France on Arc day where she beat the colts in the Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere. Olmedo who was second advertised the form very well when winning the French 2000 Guineas two weeks ago and Masar who was third filled the same spot in the English 2000 Guineas three weeks ago.

Clemmie will also make the trip up the road from Ballydoyle. She is another juvenile G1 winner having taken the Cheveley Park Stakes at Newmarket last September. Her stablemate Could It Be Love ran in the Poule, The French 1000 Guineas a couple of weeks ago and put in a decent performance running eighth. Ryan Moore asked a lot of her by taking the lead early on and she only faded late in the straight. The other Ballydoyle filly Most Gifted was a hands and heels winner of a maiden at Cork last weekend where she beat Hence That form now has a certain shine to it considering Hence’s victory here yesterday.

Johnny Murtagh is the beneficiary of the split between Qatar Racing and Ger Lyons and now this daughter of Frankel is asked to step up on her Athasi Stakes win at Naas two weeks ago. She did it well as she did when winning on debut at Leopardstown last year. Her run in between in the Rockfel Stakes last September was disappointing.

Who’s Steph on her way out to win The Derrinstown Stud Guineas Trial at Leopardstown

Ger Lyons is represented by Who’s Steph who has been impressive in both the Guineas Trials she’s won at Leopardstown this year. She changed hands before her last run and now races in George Strawbridge’s famous white and green colours. In the first trial in April, The Leopardstown Guineas Trial she beat Dermot Weld’s Yulong Gold Fairy (then subsequently 5th to Lightening Quick at Naas) and in The Derrinstown 1000 Guineas Trail she had Kevin Prendergast’s Alghabrah back in third. Both oppose her again here.

Chiara Luna winning on debut at Leopardstown last August

Dermot Weld’s other runner Chiara Luna made a winning debut last August at Leopardstown. There was a lot of talk about her before the race that day and she easily justified the money that came for her. She has only had the one run since when fourth in the Derrinstown Guineas Trial. She ran green and didn’t get a clear run but when she got out she began to eat up the ground.

Of the other’s Jim Bolger’s filly Sciobh Nua is asked a big question on only her second start,  third in a maiden last Sunday at Naas while Alpha Centauri went off favourite for The Moyglare last year where she disappointed. Her run back in the Ballylinch Stud 1000 Guineas Trial was equally disappointing. There was no suggestion of the filly we saw early last summer who won her first two before being just touched off at Royal Ascot in The Albany Stakes.

Happily can only improve for the run at Newmarket and is priced to so. An alternative to her is Dermot Weld’s filly Chiara Luna. She may turn out to be a very talented filly with a serious turn of foot.

Recommendation: Happily 6/4 win

                                       Chiara Luna 10/1 ew

                                      Happily and Chiara Luna Reverse Forecast 

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