The first thing to note is Jim Bolger doesn’t have a runner here having farmed this five out of the last seven years.
That might be a relief to the rest of the trainer’s but on second glance the English trainer’s will still look at the card with a resignation that this is for export. It’s a weak running of the Dewhurst with little strength in number, having whittled down to six, and although War Command sets a high standard you do feel the top two year old’s are at home in their barns.
War Command didn’t set the world alight first time out beating the Jim Bolger trained Intensified (well beaten in a Dundalk maiden tonight) by a neck at the Curragh. That led to him going off an unconsidered 20/1 shot for this year’s Coventry but it didn’t stop him hammering the opposition 6 L. Stepped up to G1 next for the Phoenix he looked laboured at the Curragh when third to Sudirman (beaten since) and Big Time . He went some way to restoring his reputation when taking the Beresford last month but again workmanlike was what the eye saw. Friendship is again employed his pacemaker.
Cable Bay’s race record, one from six looks ordinary yet in those there is a sense of a horse going the right way. He’s built on a maiden to compete consistently in Group company (last four runs at Group level) but has yet to make an impact. He could yet.
Godolphin provide the excitement here. Outstrip is two from three where the defeat was at hands of the subsequent National Stakes winner Toormore. Sandwiched between that was a decent maiden win and authoritative Champagne victory at the Doncaster meeting.
Richard Hannon relies on Anjaal rather than Toormore whose kept for the Racing Post Trophy in two weeks time. Forgettable first time out when eighth he showed that he was a learner winning his maiden next time out and the stepping up on that to put in a battling effort to win the July Stakes here from Figure Of Speech, (beaten five times since).
It’s between the 6/5 War Command and the 6/4 Outstrip. If the War Command that won at Royal Ascot turns up then it’s his but the price won’t do much for your pocket. Backing Outstrip won’t do much for the pocket either and the risk reward on both is all in favour of the layers.
However there’s a chance neither will perform as both have previously done that which brings the 16/1 Cable Bay into the equation. He might not have the ability of the other two but he’s more battled hardened and that might just stand to him if it comes to a fight tomorrow.
Recommendation : Cable Bay 16/1 win